Dayton
Atlantic 10
2002-03 - 2003-04 - 2004-05
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#70
Expected Predictive Rating+10.6#40
Pace61.4#297
Improvement+0.8#121

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#74

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#77


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating
  Nov 21, 2003 124   @ Pepperdine W 90-77 53%     1 - 0 +19.1
  Nov 24, 2003 272   Central Michigan W 82-63 91%     2 - 0 +11.0
  Nov 25, 2003 110   San Diego St. W 76-71 64%     3 - 0 +8.2
  Nov 26, 2003 76   Hawaii W 82-72 52%     4 - 0 +16.5
  Dec 03, 2003 118   Miami (OH) W 67-61 78%     5 - 0 +4.9
  Dec 06, 2003 269   Wagner W 67-65 95%     6 - 0 -9.6
  Dec 09, 2003 65   Louisiana W 66-59 63%     7 - 0 +10.6
  Dec 13, 2003 119   IUPUI W 61-59 78%     8 - 0 +0.9
  Dec 20, 2003 323   Prairie View W 78-65 99%     9 - 0 -8.9
  Dec 23, 2003 19   @ Cincinnati L 53-82 15%     9 - 1 -10.8
  Dec 29, 2003 292   Wofford W 81-64 96%     10 - 1 +3.7
  Dec 31, 2003 86   Saint Louis L 49-60 68%     10 - 2 -8.9
  Jan 03, 2004 107   @ Wyoming L 59-61 49%     10 - 3 +5.1
  Jan 07, 2004 252   St. Bonaventure W 76-72 93%     11 - 3 1 - 0 -5.8
  Jan 10, 2004 89   Temple W 60-56 70%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +5.6
  Jan 14, 2004 40   @ Richmond W 55-50 26%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +18.7
  Jan 17, 2004 260   @ Fordham W 75-56 83%     14 - 3 4 - 0 +15.9
  Jan 21, 2004 50   George Washington W 74-66 56%     15 - 3 5 - 0 +13.3
  Jan 24, 2004 178   @ La Salle W 77-75 67%     16 - 3 6 - 0 +4.4
  Jan 31, 2004 22   Xavier W 74-67 38%     17 - 3 7 - 0 +17.0
  Feb 04, 2004 40   Richmond W 62-57 OT 53%     18 - 3 8 - 0 +11.2
  Feb 08, 2004 186   @ Massachusetts W 66-59 69%     19 - 3 9 - 0 +8.8
  Feb 11, 2004 4   @ Saint Joseph's L 67-81 8%     19 - 4 9 - 1 +8.3
  Feb 15, 2004 140   Duquesne W 70-58 82%     20 - 4 10 - 1 +9.3
  Feb 18, 2004 50   @ George Washington L 64-66 28%     20 - 5 10 - 2 +10.8
  Feb 21, 2004 22   @ Xavier L 60-67 16%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +10.5
  Feb 28, 2004 178   La Salle W 72-58 87%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +8.9
  Mar 03, 2004 84   Rhode Island L 63-65 67%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +0.3
  Mar 06, 2004 140   @ Duquesne W 73-69 58%     22 - 7 12 - 4 +8.8
  Mar 11, 2004 140   Duquesne W 69-56 82%     23 - 7 +10.3
  Mar 12, 2004 40   Richmond W 58-56 53%     24 - 7 +8.2
  Mar 13, 2004 22   Xavier L 49-58 26%     24 - 8 +4.7
  Mar 18, 2004 56   DePaul L 69-76 2OT 46%     24 - 9 +1.1
Projected Record 24 - 9 12 - 4