Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
288 Jackson St. 0.0%   15 - 15 12 - 6 15 - 15 12 - 6 -8.0      -4.0 291 -3.9 287 64.1 263 -9.2 301 -9.6 3
294 Texas Southern 0.0%   19 - 12 16 - 2 19 - 12 16 - 2 -8.2      -4.2 294 -3.9 288 66.3 219 -3.7 222 -1.4 1
303 Alabama St. 100.0%   16   15 - 17 11 - 7 15 - 17 11 - 7 -9.1      -4.7 304 -4.5 301 65.0 248 -9.6 305 -11.0 4
318 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   13 - 19 12 - 6 13 - 19 12 - 6 -10.9      -5.5 318 -5.4 318 80.7 11 -10.6 314 -9.2 2
325 Alabama A&M 0.0%   10 - 15 10 - 8 10 - 15 10 - 8 -12.3      -6.4 325 -5.9 323 75.3 38 -13.0 324 -12.0 5
332 Grambling St. 0.0%   12 - 21 8 - 10 12 - 21 8 - 10 -14.1      -7.2 332 -6.9 332 71.3 88 -12.8 322 -14.9 6
336 Prairie View 0.0%   7 - 22 7 - 11 7 - 22 7 - 11 -15.5      -7.9 336 -7.5 334 70.4 113 -16.7 337 -15.8 7
337 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   7 - 24 7 - 11 7 - 24 7 - 11 -16.0      -8.1 337 -7.9 337 69.3 143 -16.4 336 -15.9 8
342 Alcorn St. 0.0%   4 - 24 4 - 14 4 - 24 4 - 14 -18.9      -9.6 342 -9.3 342 92.9 1 -20.7 342 -20.5 9
344 Southern 0.0%   3 - 24 3 - 15 3 - 24 3 - 15 -21.1      -10.7 345 -10.4 344 66.7 210 -22.5 345 -22.2 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Jackson St. 2.0 100.0
Texas Southern 1.0 100.0
Alabama St. 4.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 2.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 5.0 100.0
Grambling St. 6.0 100.0
Prairie View 7.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 7.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 9.0 100.0
Southern 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Jackson St. 12 - 6 100.0
Texas Southern 16 - 2 100.0
Alabama St. 11 - 7 100.0
Mississippi Valley 12 - 6 100.0
Alabama A&M 10 - 8 100.0
Grambling St. 8 - 10 100.0
Prairie View 7 - 11 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 7 - 11 100.0
Alcorn St. 4 - 14 100.0
Southern 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Jackson St.
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0
Alabama St.
Mississippi Valley
Alabama A&M
Grambling St.
Prairie View
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Alcorn St.
Southern


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 100.0% 100.0% 28.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 28.7% 0.3 71.3 28.7
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0