Pre-tourney Rankings
Sun Belt
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
175 North Texas 0.0%   20 - 11 8 - 8 20 - 11 8 - 8 -0.6      -0.1 171 -0.5 180 71.5 81 -0.4 170 -4.6 7
185 Florida Atlantic 0.0%   19 - 10 13 - 3 19 - 10 13 - 3 -1.1      -0.6 187 -0.5 182 63.6 277 +2.4 133 +3.6 1
192 Middle Tennessee 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 6 15 - 16 10 - 6 -1.5      -0.9 195 -0.6 186 68.4 158 -4.1 229 -1.7 4
195 Arkansas St. 0.0%   15 - 15 11 - 5 15 - 15 11 - 5 -1.9      -1.0 198 -0.9 193 65.8 234 -2.4 200 +0.2 3
214 Denver 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 7 13 - 17 9 - 7 -2.9      -1.5 216 -1.4 213 52.2 344 -4.3 231 -2.8 5
218 Arkansas Little Rock 100.0%   16   17 - 16 7 - 9 17 - 16 7 - 9 -3.1      -1.6 217 -1.5 217 65.9 229 -1.7 190 -5.9 8
221 Western Kentucky 0.0%   16 - 16 8 - 8 16 - 16 8 - 8 -3.2      -1.6 218 -1.6 223 71.3 87 -2.4 201 -4.6 6
232 Louisiana 0.0%   13 - 14 11 - 5 13 - 14 11 - 5 -3.7      -1.9 234 -1.8 232 73.9 47 -3.0 211 +0.4 2
277 Troy 0.0%   7 - 21 6 - 10 7 - 21 6 - 10 -7.1      -3.5 275 -3.5 277 77.5 26 -8.1 288 -7.2 10
285 Florida International 0.0%   9 - 19 5 - 11 9 - 19 5 - 11 -7.8      -3.8 281 -4.0 290 74.0 45 -8.2 291 -8.8 11
292 South Alabama 0.0%   10 - 16 6 - 10 10 - 16 6 - 10 -8.1      -4.0 285 -4.1 293 71.5 82 -7.1 270 -7.1 9
323 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   5 - 24 2 - 14 5 - 24 2 - 14 -12.0      -5.9 324 -6.0 324 60.9 317 -12.5 321 -14.5 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
North Texas 6.0 100.0
Florida Atlantic 1.0 100.0
Middle Tennessee 4.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 2.0 100.0
Denver 5.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 8.0 100.0
Western Kentucky 6.0 100.0
Louisiana 2.0 100.0
Troy 9.0 100.0
Florida International 11.0 100.0
South Alabama 9.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
North Texas 8 - 8 100.0
Florida Atlantic 13 - 3 100.0
Middle Tennessee 10 - 6 100.0
Arkansas St. 11 - 5 100.0
Denver 9 - 7 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 7 - 9 100.0
Western Kentucky 8 - 8 100.0
Louisiana 11 - 5 100.0
Troy 6 - 10 100.0
Florida International 5 - 11 100.0
South Alabama 6 - 10 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Texas
Florida Atlantic 100.0% 100.0
Middle Tennessee
Arkansas St.
Denver
Arkansas Little Rock
Western Kentucky
Louisiana
Troy
Florida International
South Alabama
Louisiana Monroe


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
North Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.2 99.8
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
North Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 100.0% 95.0% 49.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 49.0% 0.5 51.0 49.0
2nd Round 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0