Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#164
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#178
Pace57.0#337
Improvement+3.1#56

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#170
Improvement+3.7#27

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#159
Improvement-0.6#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2010 274   @ Seattle W 76-60 64%     1 - 0 +12.3 -2.1 -1.0
  Nov 21, 2010 247   @ Montana St. L 57-73 57%     1 - 1 -17.8 -1.7 -0.8
  Nov 24, 2010 203   Loyola Marymount W 55-48 71%     2 - 1 +1.2 -3.6 -1.8
  Nov 27, 2010 316   @ Sacramento St. L 67-71 76%     2 - 2 -11.3 -3.4 -4.1
  Dec 01, 2010 156   Hawaii W 54-53 60%     3 - 2 -1.5 -1.9 -0.6
  Dec 04, 2010 203   @ Loyola Marymount L 48-67 48%     3 - 3 -18.4 -0.3 -0.1
  Dec 11, 2010 50   @ UCLA L 61-72 12%     3 - 4 +1.9 +6.4 +6.0
  Dec 13, 2010 10   @ San Diego St. L 45-51 5%     3 - 5 +13.5 +8.9 +10.3
  Dec 18, 2010 65   @ California L 41-51 15%     3 - 6 +1.3 +4.4 +6.3
  Dec 21, 2010 220   @ Pepperdine W 70-64 50%     4 - 6 +6.0 +0.1 +0.2
  Dec 30, 2010 91   Long Beach St. L 53-69 44%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -14.4 +0.0 +0.9
  Jan 06, 2011 149   @ Pacific W 43-39 34%     5 - 7 1 - 1 +8.4 +1.2 +3.3
  Jan 08, 2011 239   @ UC Davis W 48-43 55%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +3.8 -1.5 +0.6
  Jan 13, 2011 259   Cal St. Fullerton W 58-54 81%     7 - 7 3 - 1 -5.0 -4.9 -4.0
  Jan 15, 2011 210   UC Irvine L 53-65 72%     7 - 8 3 - 2 -18.1 -3.9 -2.8
  Jan 20, 2011 257   @ UC Riverside W 65-60 60%     8 - 8 4 - 2 +2.4 -0.9 -1.3
  Jan 22, 2011 222   @ Cal St. Northridge L 65-80 50%     8 - 9 4 - 3 -15.0 +0.0 -0.8
  Jan 27, 2011 128   UC Santa Barbara L 70-71 53%     8 - 10 4 - 4 -1.7 +0.2 -0.9
  Jan 29, 2011 314   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-61 76%     9 - 10 +8.9 -3.0 -3.3
  Feb 03, 2011 239   UC Davis W 65-56 77%     10 - 10 5 - 4 +1.5 -3.9 -3.2
  Feb 05, 2011 149   Pacific W 58-39 58%     11 - 10 6 - 4 +17.0 -1.0 +0.1
  Feb 10, 2011 210   @ UC Irvine W 80-71 49%     12 - 10 7 - 4 +9.3 +0.5 +0.2
  Feb 12, 2011 257   UC Riverside W 56-40 80%     13 - 10 8 - 4 +7.1 -4.7 -3.3
  Feb 16, 2011 222   Cal St. Northridge W 72-49 73%     14 - 10 9 - 4 +16.7 -2.7 -2.4
  Feb 19, 2011 135   Northern Arizona L 56-59 54%     14 - 11 -4.0 -0.9 -0.3
  Feb 24, 2011 91   @ Long Beach St. L 55-61 23%     14 - 12 9 - 5 +2.0 +3.4 +4.3
  Feb 26, 2011 259   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 75-70 61%     15 - 12 10 - 5 +2.3 -1.1 -1.4
  Mar 05, 2011 128   @ UC Santa Barbara L 43-49 30%     15 - 13 10 - 6 -0.4 +1.8 +3.5
  Mar 10, 2011 257   UC Riverside L 66-70 OT 71%     15 - 14 -9.7 -3.0 -3.0
Projected Record 15.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%