Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego St.
Mountain West
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.3#10
Expected Predictive Rating+22.8#3
Pace62.8#292
Improvement+0.8#137

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#11
Improvement-1.4#252

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#8
Improvement+2.2#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4.6% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 39.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 86.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round92.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen62.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight35.8% n/a n/a
Final Four17.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game7.9% n/a n/a
National Champion3.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 91   @ Long Beach St. W 81-65 79%     1 - 0 +24.0 +4.4 +4.4
  Nov 16, 2010 35   @ Gonzaga W 79-76 57%     2 - 0 +17.5 +7.5 +7.1
  Nov 20, 2010 159   Green Bay W 79-70 92%     3 - 0 +9.5 +0.5 +0.4
  Nov 21, 2010 139   IUPUI W 61-46 90%     4 - 0 +16.9 +1.0 +1.8
  Nov 22, 2010 176   @ Miami (OH) W 77-56 90%     5 - 0 +23.5 +1.5 +2.0
  Dec 01, 2010 44   St. Mary's W 69-55 81%     6 - 0 +21.1 +3.3 +4.5
  Dec 04, 2010 63   Wichita St. W 83-69 85%     7 - 0 +19.1 +2.9 +2.8
  Dec 08, 2010 65   @ California W 77-57 69%     8 - 0 +31.3 +5.9 +6.3
  Dec 11, 2010 289   San Diego W 77-49 99%     9 - 0 +16.9 -4.8 -4.9
  Dec 13, 2010 164   Cal Poly W 51-45 95%     10 - 0 +2.9 -1.9 -0.8
  Dec 18, 2010 128   UC Santa Barbara W 90-64 93%     11 - 0 +25.3 +0.8 -0.3
  Dec 21, 2010 142   San Francisco W 62-56 91%     12 - 0 +7.7 +0.8 +1.2
  Dec 22, 2010 139   IUPUI W 56-54 90%     13 - 0 +3.9 +0.5 +1.5
  Jan 05, 2011 160   @ TCU W 66-53 88%     14 - 0 1 - 0 +16.5 +1.8 +2.4
  Jan 08, 2011 137   @ Utah W 71-62 85%     15 - 0 2 - 0 +14.1 +2.5 +3.0
  Jan 12, 2011 26   UNLV W 55-49 74%     16 - 0 3 - 0 +15.6 +4.3 +5.6
  Jan 15, 2011 46   @ New Mexico W 87-77 61%     17 - 0 4 - 0 +23.4 +7.4 +6.5
  Jan 19, 2011 108   Air Force W 68-55 92%     18 - 0 5 - 0 +13.4 +0.8 +0.3
  Jan 26, 2011 12   @ BYU L 58-71 39%     18 - 1 5 - 1 +6.2 +9.0 +9.6
  Jan 29, 2011 224   Wyoming W 96-57 97%     19 - 1 6 - 1 +32.6 -2.2 -2.5
  Feb 02, 2011 72   @ Colorado St. W 56-54 72%     20 - 1 7 - 1 +12.2 +4.4 +5.9
  Feb 05, 2011 160   TCU W 60-53 95%     21 - 1 8 - 1 +4.2 -1.4 -1.0
  Feb 08, 2011 137   Utah W 85-53 94%     22 - 1 9 - 1 +30.8 -0.2 +0.4
  Feb 12, 2011 26   @ UNLV W 63-57 51%     23 - 1 10 - 1 +22.0 +7.9 +8.3
  Feb 16, 2011 46   New Mexico W 68-62 81%     24 - 1 11 - 1 +13.0 +3.5 +3.8
  Feb 19, 2011 108   @ Air Force W 70-58 82%     25 - 1 12 - 1 +18.7 +3.5 +3.8
  Feb 26, 2011 12   BYU L 67-80 63%     25 - 2 12 - 2 -0.1 +6.2 +6.1
  Mar 01, 2011 224   @ Wyoming W 85-58 93%     26 - 2 13 - 2 +26.9 +0.3 +0.7
  Mar 05, 2011 72   Colorado St. W 66-48 87%     27 - 2 14 - 2 +21.9 +2.1 +2.7
  Mar 10, 2011 137   Utah W 64-50 90%     28 - 2 +16.0 +0.6 +2.0
  Mar 11, 2011 26   UNLV W 74-72 63%     29 - 2 +14.8 +6.6 +6.3
  Mar 12, 2011 12   BYU W 72-54 51%     30 - 2 +34.1 +8.4 +8.6
Projected Record 30.0 - 2.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.8 39.4 46.9 12.3 1.5 0.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.8 39.4 46.9 12.3 1.5 0.0