Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#282
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#302
Pace61.7#309
Improvement-0.2#190

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#279
Improvement+3.4#34

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#285
Improvement-3.6#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 47   @ Richmond L 37-79 4%     0 - 1 -28.7 +5.1 +6.2
  Nov 16, 2010 215   @ Charleston Southern L 61-68 23%     0 - 2 -6.8 -0.2 +0.1
  Nov 20, 2010 101   James Madison L 67-74 21%     0 - 3 -6.1 +0.1 +0.4
  Nov 23, 2010 307   High Point W 71-63 70%     1 - 3 -4.9 -6.5 -6.0
  Nov 27, 2010 106   @ Coastal Carolina L 64-72 10%     1 - 4 -1.1 +3.0 +3.5
  Dec 02, 2010 326   Georgia Southern W 65-52 79%     2 - 4 1 - 0 -3.1 -7.8 -7.6
  Dec 04, 2010 165   Davidson L 53-68 34%     2 - 5 1 - 1 -18.1 -2.4 -1.4
  Dec 17, 2010 49   @ Colorado L 61-89 4%     2 - 6 -14.8 +5.8 +6.1
  Dec 19, 2010 46   @ New Mexico L 58-84 4%     2 - 7 -12.6 +6.2 +6.0
  Dec 22, 2010 330   South Carolina St. W 67-57 73%     3 - 7 -3.7 -6.9 -6.3
  Dec 23, 2010 341   SIU Edwardsville L 55-59 85%     3 - 8 -22.6 -9.6 -9.2
  Jan 02, 2011 29   @ Clemson L 54-69 3%     3 - 9 +0.5 +7.2 +7.5
  Jan 06, 2011 90   @ Wofford L 60-78 8%     3 - 10 1 - 2 -9.9 +3.5 +3.8
  Jan 08, 2011 151   @ Furman L 67-88 14%     3 - 11 1 - 3 -16.8 +2.1 +1.1
  Jan 13, 2011 271   Chattanooga L 68-69 59%     3 - 12 1 - 4 -10.9 -4.5 -5.5
  Jan 15, 2011 80   @ College of Charleston L 66-87 7%     3 - 13 1 - 5 -11.8 +4.0 +4.3
  Jan 17, 2011 306   @ Samford W 61-50 46%     4 - 13 2 - 5 +4.5 -3.2 -2.7
  Jan 20, 2011 219   Appalachian St. W 81-63 45%     5 - 13 3 - 5 +11.7 -2.5 -2.9
  Jan 22, 2011 193   Western Carolina W 68-46 39%     6 - 13 4 - 5 +17.2 -2.4 -1.3
  Jan 26, 2011 165   @ Davidson W 85-75 16%     7 - 13 5 - 5 +13.2 +2.4 +1.3
  Feb 03, 2011 151   Furman L 55-59 30%     7 - 14 5 - 6 -6.1 -1.4 -0.9
  Feb 05, 2011 90   Wofford L 60-74 19%     7 - 15 5 - 7 -12.3 +0.2 +0.9
  Feb 07, 2011 286   @ UNC Greensboro L 74-86 39%     7 - 16 5 - 8 -16.6 -2.4 -2.8
  Feb 12, 2011 245   Elon L 72-79 52%     7 - 17 5 - 9 -14.9 -4.2 -4.1
  Feb 14, 2011 265   Savannah St. L 61-65 OT 57%     7 - 18 -13.4 -4.6 -5.0
  Feb 17, 2011 80   College of Charleston L 63-85 17%     7 - 19 5 - 10 -19.1 +1.2 +0.6
  Feb 19, 2011 326   @ Georgia Southern L 53-65 59%     7 - 20 5 - 11 -21.8 -5.2 -5.2
  Feb 24, 2011 193   @ Western Carolina W 70-62 19%     8 - 20 6 - 11 +9.6 +1.0 +0.9
  Feb 26, 2011 219   @ Appalachian St. L 59-70 23%     8 - 21 6 - 12 -10.9 -0.4 -0.1
  Mar 04, 2011 245   Elon L 74-85 39%     8 - 22 -15.8 -2.1 -3.2
Projected Record 8.0 - 22.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%