Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#239
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#264
Pace69.8#124
Improvement-1.5#237

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#235
Improvement+3.5#33

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#243
Improvement-4.9#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 185   Florida Atlantic L 63-70 38%     0 - 1 -8.1 -1.0 -0.4
  Nov 13, 2010 99   @ Portland L 60-75 13%     0 - 2 -7.4 +3.2 +3.6
  Nov 14, 2010 131   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 62-73 26%     0 - 3 -8.7 +0.5 +1.3
  Nov 21, 2010 82   Boise St. L 47-67 25%     0 - 4 -17.4 +0.3 +1.3
  Nov 23, 2010 316   @ Sacramento St. W 61-54 61%     1 - 4 -0.3 -3.9 -3.1
  Nov 27, 2010 274   Seattle W 80-58 71%     2 - 4 +12.0 -4.7 -4.4
  Dec 01, 2010 65   @ California L 62-74 8%     2 - 5 -0.7 +5.2 +5.4
  Dec 13, 2010 50   @ UCLA L 67-74 6%     2 - 6 +5.9 +6.5 +6.1
  Dec 16, 2010 171   @ North Dakota St. L 71-76 25%     2 - 7 -2.2 +1.4 +1.2
  Dec 21, 2010 263   Southern Utah W 74-65 68%     3 - 7 -0.3 -4.3 -4.6
  Dec 28, 2010 259   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 88-72 44%     4 - 7 1 - 0 +13.3 -1.1 -0.9
  Dec 30, 2010 222   @ Cal St. Northridge L 81-87 34%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -6.0 +0.2 -0.4
  Jan 06, 2011 128   UC Santa Barbara L 65-77 36%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -12.7 -0.7 -0.5
  Jan 08, 2011 164   Cal Poly L 43-48 45%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -8.1 -2.4 -0.9
  Jan 12, 2011 91   @ Long Beach St. L 56-60 13%     4 - 11 1 - 4 +4.0 +3.3 +4.5
  Jan 22, 2011 149   Pacific L 54-87 41%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -35.0 -1.7 -1.9
  Jan 27, 2011 257   UC Riverside W 82-52 67%     5 - 12 2 - 5 +21.1 -4.2 -3.4
  Jan 29, 2011 210   UC Irvine W 108-107 2OT 57%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -5.1 -2.9 -3.1
  Feb 03, 2011 164   @ Cal Poly L 56-65 23%     6 - 13 3 - 6 -5.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 05, 2011 128   @ UC Santa Barbara L 86-93 OT 17%     6 - 14 3 - 7 -1.4 +3.3 +2.0
  Feb 10, 2011 91   Long Beach St. L 69-93 28%     6 - 15 3 - 8 -22.4 +0.6 -0.1
  Feb 12, 2011 149   @ Pacific L 66-70 20%     6 - 16 3 - 9 +0.4 +2.3 +1.9
  Feb 15, 2011 274   @ Seattle W 88-78 47%     7 - 16 +6.3 -1.7 -1.6
  Feb 19, 2011 156   Hawaii L 69-83 43%     7 - 17 -16.5 -1.2 -1.9
  Feb 24, 2011 210   @ UC Irvine L 87-96 2OT 33%     7 - 18 3 - 10 -8.7 -0.1 +0.0
  Feb 26, 2011 257   @ UC Riverside L 81-85 43%     7 - 19 3 - 11 -6.6 -0.7 -2.0
  Mar 03, 2011 222   Cal St. Northridge W 78-66 58%     8 - 19 4 - 11 +5.7 -3.2 -2.6
  Mar 05, 2011 259   Cal St. Fullerton L 82-87 67%     8 - 20 4 - 12 -14.0 -4.5 -4.8
Projected Record 8.0 - 20.0 4.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 100.0% 100.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%