Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#128
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#145
Pace65.1#245
Improvement-0.8#214

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#128
Improvement-0.7#200

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#128
Improvement-0.1#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.3% n/a n/a
First Round99.3% n/a n/a
Second Round5.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 214   Denver W 65-49 70%     1 - 0 +13.1 -1.6 -0.6
  Nov 13, 2010 171   North Dakota St. L 60-68 61%     1 - 1 -8.4 -0.9 +0.2
  Nov 14, 2010 88   @ Oregon L 70-72 29%     1 - 2 +6.2 +3.9 +4.2
  Nov 20, 2010 162   Fresno St. W 69-54 70%     2 - 2 +12.0 -1.3 -1.0
  Nov 27, 2010 99   @ Portland L 63-75 31%     2 - 3 -4.4 +3.3 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2010 203   Loyola Marymount W 77-67 78%     3 - 3 +4.2 -2.6 -2.7
  Dec 04, 2010 145   @ Santa Clara W 80-69 42%     4 - 3 +15.5 +2.2 +2.7
  Dec 15, 2010 26   @ UNLV W 68-62 11%     5 - 3 +22.0 +7.7 +8.5
  Dec 18, 2010 10   @ San Diego St. L 64-90 7%     5 - 4 -6.5 +9.7 +8.5
  Dec 28, 2010 91   Long Beach St. L 55-71 53%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -14.4 +0.2 +0.7
  Jan 06, 2011 239   @ UC Davis W 77-65 64%     6 - 5 1 - 1 +10.8 -0.6 -0.1
  Jan 08, 2011 149   @ Pacific L 54-57 43%     6 - 6 1 - 2 +1.4 +1.9 +2.3
  Jan 13, 2011 210   UC Irvine W 71-58 79%     7 - 6 2 - 2 +6.9 -3.0 -2.5
  Jan 15, 2011 257   UC Riverside W 64-57 85%     8 - 6 3 - 2 -1.9 -4.4 -4.1
  Jan 22, 2011 259   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 58-63 69%     8 - 7 3 - 3 -7.7 -2.1 -0.8
  Jan 27, 2011 164   @ Cal Poly W 71-70 47%     9 - 7 4 - 3 +4.3 +2.3 +1.0
  Jan 29, 2011 222   Cal St. Northridge L 69-70 80%     9 - 8 4 - 4 -7.3 -3.0 -3.4
  Feb 03, 2011 149   Pacific L 68-74 67%     9 - 9 4 - 5 -8.0 -0.9 -1.4
  Feb 05, 2011 239   UC Davis W 93-86 OT 83%     10 - 9 5 - 5 -0.5 -3.1 -4.1
  Feb 10, 2011 257   @ UC Riverside W 59-47 69%     11 - 9 6 - 5 +9.4 -1.4 -0.6
  Feb 12, 2011 210   @ UC Irvine L 63-66 58%     11 - 10 6 - 6 -2.7 -0.2 +0.3
  Feb 16, 2011 259   Cal St. Fullerton W 86-71 86%     12 - 10 7 - 6 +6.0 -4.3 -4.1
  Feb 19, 2011 82   Boise St. L 76-78 OT 50%     12 - 11 +0.6 +1.1 +1.4
  Feb 24, 2011 222   @ Cal St. Northridge L 60-68 59%     12 - 12 7 - 7 -8.0 -0.2 -0.2
  Feb 26, 2011 91   @ Long Beach St. L 53-71 30%     12 - 13 7 - 8 -10.0 +3.1 +4.1
  Mar 05, 2011 164   Cal Poly W 49-43 70%     13 - 13 8 - 8 +2.9 -2.1 -0.7
  Mar 10, 2011 149   Pacific W 79-67 55%     14 - 13 +13.2 +0.9 +0.8
  Mar 11, 2011 222   Cal St. Northridge W 83-63 71%     15 - 13 +16.8 -1.4 -0.9
  Mar 12, 2011 91   Long Beach St. W 64-56 41%     16 - 13 +12.8 +2.2 +3.0
Projected Record 16.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.3 0.5 65.1 34.4
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.5 65.1 34.4