Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
243 Mississippi Valley 100.0%   16   21 - 12 17 - 1 21 - 12 17 - 1 -4.8      -2.7 247 -2.0 234 75.4 31 -0.6 178 +2.8 1
276 Texas Southern 0.0%   15 - 18 12 - 6 15 - 18 12 - 6 -6.7      -7.6 317 +0.9 141 68.1 151 -8.8 293 -9.1 3
316 Southern 0.0%   14 - 14 13 - 5 14 - 14 13 - 5 -11.8      -9.3 334 -2.5 254 65.7 217 -8.4 291 -6.8 2
320 Alabama St. 0.0%   10 - 19 9 - 9 10 - 19 9 - 9 -12.2      -10.7 338 -1.6 221 64.6 248 -12.8 321 -12.8 6
329 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   11 - 22 9 - 9 11 - 22 9 - 9 -13.0      -6.7 309 -6.3 320 67.8 161 -11.8 316 -12.7 5
330 Prairie View 0.0%   11 - 18 10 - 8 11 - 18 10 - 8 -13.0      -12.4 344 -0.6 186 76.7 24 -12.3 319 -11.2 4
333 Jackson St. 0.0%   6 - 24 5 - 13 6 - 24 5 - 13 -14.4      -9.9 336 -4.5 286 60.0 315 -17.2 334 -18.5 9
335 Alcorn St. 0.0%   7 - 21 6 - 12 7 - 21 6 - 12 -14.7      -8.4 327 -6.3 319 69.9 112 -16.3 331 -16.8 7
336 Alabama A&M 0.0%   5 - 21 5 - 13 5 - 21 5 - 13 -15.2      -8.8 331 -6.4 323 70.6 98 -18.6 337 -18.3 8
344 Grambling St. 0.0%   4 - 24 4 - 14 4 - 24 4 - 14 -20.7      -11.4 343 -9.3 341 66.8 187 -19.5 341 -19.3 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Mississippi Valley 1.0 100.0
Texas Southern 3.0 100.0
Southern 2.0 100.0
Alabama St. 5.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.0 100.0
Prairie View 4.0 100.0
Jackson St. 8.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 7.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 8.0 100.0
Grambling St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Mississippi Valley 17 - 1 100.0
Texas Southern 12 - 6 100.0
Southern 13 - 5 100.0
Alabama St. 9 - 9 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9 - 9 100.0
Prairie View 10 - 8 100.0
Jackson St. 5 - 13 100.0
Alcorn St. 6 - 12 100.0
Alabama A&M 5 - 13 100.0
Grambling St. 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Mississippi Valley 100.0% 100.0
Texas Southern
Southern
Alabama St.
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Prairie View
Jackson St.
Alcorn St.
Alabama A&M
Grambling St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Mississippi Valley 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Mississippi Valley 100.0% 100.0% 35.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 35.9% 0.4 64.1 35.9
2nd Round 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0