Pre-tourney Rankings
Akron
Mid-American
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#73
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#79
Pace71.4#81
Improvement-1.1#219

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#89
Improvement+2.2#62

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#72
Improvement-3.4#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.5% n/a n/a
First Round1.4% n/a n/a
Second Round0.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2011 70   @ Mississippi St. W 68-58 37%     1 - 0 +20.3 -2.1 +22.5
  Nov 18, 2011 144   @ Valparaiso L 59-62 57%     1 - 1 +2.0 -13.1 +15.2
  Nov 19, 2011 114   Duquesne L 76-81 62%     1 - 2 -1.3 -0.3 -0.7
  Nov 26, 2011 119   Detroit Mercy W 81-63 74%     2 - 2 +18.0 +5.5 +12.4
  Nov 28, 2011 37   @ West Virginia L 56-77 25%     2 - 3 -7.2 -15.7 +10.3
  Dec 04, 2011 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 53-77 32%     2 - 4 -12.4 -9.2 -4.8
  Dec 10, 2011 88   @ Cleveland St. L 66-69 42%     2 - 5 +5.9 +0.1 +5.7
  Dec 15, 2011 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 87-64 97%     3 - 5 +6.6 -0.7 +5.5
  Dec 17, 2011 318   Florida A&M W 91-69 97%     4 - 5 +6.7 +0.8 +3.4
  Dec 19, 2011 169   Youngstown St. W 88-62 83%     5 - 5 +22.4 +4.8 +15.8
  Dec 21, 2011 303   N.C. A&T W 79-52 96%     6 - 5 +14.3 -3.4 +15.9
  Dec 29, 2011 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 75-76 OT 58%     6 - 6 +3.9 -2.1 +6.1
  Jan 01, 2012 76   @ Marshall W 67-51 38%     7 - 6 +26.1 +6.5 +21.6
  Jan 07, 2012 189   @ Miami (OH) W 65-60 68%     8 - 6 1 - 0 +6.9 +1.0 +6.6
  Jan 11, 2012 126   @ Bowling Green W 56-55 52%     9 - 6 2 - 0 +7.2 -7.0 +14.3
  Jan 14, 2012 71   Ohio W 68-63 63%     10 - 6 3 - 0 +8.4 -1.8 +10.2
  Jan 18, 2012 103   @ Buffalo L 70-82 45%     10 - 7 3 - 1 -3.9 -4.0 +1.0
  Jan 21, 2012 116   Kent St. W 84-75 74%     11 - 7 4 - 1 +9.2 +7.3 +1.5
  Jan 24, 2012 201   @ Ball St. W 70-58 70%     12 - 7 5 - 1 +13.5 +3.2 +11.1
  Jan 28, 2012 247   @ Central Michigan W 74-64 79%     13 - 7 6 - 1 +8.4 +1.8 +6.7
  Feb 01, 2012 197   Toledo W 86-72 87%     14 - 7 7 - 1 +8.7 +5.6 +2.6
  Feb 04, 2012 250   Eastern Michigan W 77-47 92%     15 - 7 8 - 1 +21.4 +6.1 +15.5
  Feb 08, 2012 175   @ Western Michigan W 69-66 OT 65%     16 - 7 9 - 1 +5.9 -6.6 +12.4
  Feb 11, 2012 317   Northern Illinois W 75-51 97%     17 - 7 10 - 1 +8.7 -0.9 +10.5
  Feb 15, 2012 189   Miami (OH) W 74-59 86%     18 - 7 11 - 1 +10.1 +8.4 +3.9
  Feb 18, 2012 87   @ Oral Roberts L 61-67 41%     18 - 8 +3.1 -8.9 +11.8
  Feb 22, 2012 126   Bowling Green W 79-68 76%     19 - 8 12 - 1 +10.4 +12.1 -0.9
  Feb 26, 2012 71   @ Ohio L 61-85 37%     19 - 9 12 - 2 -13.7 -3.8 -10.4
  Feb 29, 2012 103   Buffalo L 70-74 70%     19 - 10 12 - 3 -2.7 -0.5 -2.4
  Mar 02, 2012 116   @ Kent St. W 61-55 49%     20 - 10 13 - 3 +13.0 -10.0 +22.8
  Mar 09, 2012 116   Kent St. W 78-74 63%     21 - 10 +7.6 +12.1 -4.3
  Mar 10, 2012 71   Ohio L 63-64 50%     21 - 11 +5.9 +7.6 -1.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 2.5% 2.5% 12.9 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.4 97.5 2.5%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.5% 0.0% 2.5% 12.9 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.4 97.5 2.5%