Pre-tourney Rankings
Baylor
Big 12
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.8#11
Expected Predictive Rating+17.4#10
Pace68.6#138
Improvement-1.9#241

Offense
Total Offense+9.2#13
Improvement+2.3#61

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#28
Improvement-4.2#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 4.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 37.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round81.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen53.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight27.1% n/a n/a
Final Four11.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.0% n/a n/a
National Champion1.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 276   Texas Southern W 77-57 98%     1 - 0 +9.9 +2.2 +7.4
  Nov 13, 2011 333   Jackson St. W 92-59 99%     2 - 0 +15.2 +7.8 +5.5
  Nov 15, 2011 46   San Diego St. W 77-67 81%     3 - 0 +15.3 +0.3 +14.1
  Nov 22, 2011 343   South Carolina St. W 70-50 99.6%    4 - 0 -1.3 -14.6 +13.3
  Nov 23, 2011 108   Texas Arlington W 75-65 90%     5 - 0 +10.7 -4.4 +14.1
  Nov 29, 2011 330   Prairie View W 90-54 99%     6 - 0 +19.6 +14.1 +5.2
  Dec 04, 2011 58   @ Northwestern W 69-41 63%     7 - 0 +39.3 +4.5 +37.8
  Dec 14, 2011 257   Bethune-Cookman W 69-42 98%     8 - 0 +17.9 -2.7 +23.7
  Dec 17, 2011 45   @ BYU W 86-83 60%     9 - 0 +15.2 +12.5 +2.4
  Dec 22, 2011 38   St. Mary's W 72-59 67%     10 - 0 +23.1 +6.1 +17.9
  Dec 23, 2011 37   West Virginia W 83-81 OT 66%     11 - 0 +12.4 +10.5 +1.8
  Dec 28, 2011 70   Mississippi St. W 54-52 77%     12 - 0 +8.9 -13.1 +22.2
  Jan 02, 2012 104   Texas A&M W 61-52 89%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +10.1 -8.4 +18.5
  Jan 07, 2012 220   @ Texas Tech W 73-60 91%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +13.2 +8.3 +5.7
  Jan 10, 2012 21   @ Kansas St. W 75-73 44%     15 - 0 3 - 0 +18.3 +11.4 +6.9
  Jan 14, 2012 90   Oklahoma St. W 106-65 88%     16 - 0 4 - 0 +43.0 +22.7 +16.1
  Jan 16, 2012 5   @ Kansas L 74-92 25%     16 - 1 4 - 1 +3.8 +9.3 -4.9
  Jan 21, 2012 6   Missouri L 88-89 50%     16 - 2 4 - 2 +13.9 +8.9 +5.1
  Jan 24, 2012 96   @ Oklahoma W 77-65 73%     17 - 2 5 - 2 +20.5 +20.0 +2.2
  Jan 28, 2012 25   Texas W 76-71 74%     18 - 2 6 - 2 +13.2 +5.5 +7.6
  Feb 01, 2012 104   @ Texas A&M W 63-60 75%     19 - 2 7 - 2 +10.9 +4.4 +6.9
  Feb 04, 2012 90   @ Oklahoma St. W 64-60 72%     20 - 2 8 - 2 +12.8 -0.8 +13.9
  Feb 08, 2012 5   Kansas L 54-68 49%     20 - 3 8 - 3 +1.0 -7.3 +7.1
  Feb 11, 2012 6   @ Missouri L 57-72 25%     20 - 4 8 - 4 +6.7 -1.9 +6.2
  Feb 13, 2012 27   Iowa St. W 79-64 74%     21 - 4 9 - 4 +23.1 +19.5 +5.7
  Feb 18, 2012 21   Kansas St. L 56-57 69%     21 - 5 9 - 5 +8.5 -6.9 +15.4
  Feb 20, 2012 25   @ Texas W 77-72 49%     22 - 5 10 - 5 +20.0 +16.6 +3.8
  Feb 25, 2012 96   Oklahoma W 70-60 89%     23 - 5 11 - 5 +11.7 -0.5 +12.3
  Feb 27, 2012 220   Texas Tech W 77-48 97%     24 - 5 12 - 5 +22.4 +9.8 +14.7
  Mar 03, 2012 27   @ Iowa St. L 72-80 49%     24 - 6 12 - 6 +6.9 +3.4 +3.8
  Mar 08, 2012 21   Kansas St. W 82-74 57%     25 - 6 +20.9 +20.0 +1.3
  Mar 09, 2012 5   Kansas W 81-72 36%     26 - 6 +27.4 +18.3 +9.2
  Mar 10, 2012 6   Missouri L 75-90 37%     26 - 7 +3.3 +5.3 -2.0
Projected Record 26.0 - 7.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.6 4.1 33.7 55.7 6.4 0.1 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.6 4.1 33.7 55.7 6.4 0.1 100.0%