Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisiana
Sun Belt
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#198
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#179
Pace75.8#28
Improvement-0.3#183

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#302
Improvement-3.7#322

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#66
Improvement+3.4#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 338   Northern Arizona W 83-66 90%     1 - 0 +1.4 -7.5 +6.8
  Nov 12, 2011 164   North Dakota St. L 58-78 42%     1 - 1 -19.8 -15.5 -4.8
  Nov 13, 2011 137   @ San Francisco L 70-71 23%     1 - 2 +4.7 -6.2 +10.9
  Nov 18, 2011 325   Houston Baptist W 73-64 90%     2 - 2 -7.0 -7.1 +0.1
  Nov 19, 2011 163   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-69 54%     2 - 3 -9.0 -20.7 +12.2
  Nov 20, 2011 326   Nicholls St. W 84-57 90%     3 - 3 +11.0 -5.5 +15.2
  Nov 26, 2011 114   @ Duquesne L 65-84 20%     3 - 4 -11.9 -11.3 +1.2
  Nov 28, 2011 116   @ Kent St. L 67-76 20%     3 - 5 -2.0 +2.3 -5.0
  Dec 01, 2011 209   McNeese St. W 78-56 65%     4 - 5 +16.2 +0.9 +15.0
  Dec 03, 2011 102   @ Lamar L 63-80 17%     4 - 6 -8.9 -8.3 -0.1
  Dec 14, 2011 84   @ Mississippi L 54-66 15%     4 - 7 -2.7 -14.2 +12.0
  Dec 17, 2011 148   @ Robert Morris L 64-72 26%     4 - 8 -3.2 -8.3 +5.3
  Dec 21, 2011 93   Central Florida W 61-60 35%     5 - 8 +3.0 -5.8 +8.8
  Dec 31, 2011 208   Florida Atlantic W 67-55 65%     6 - 8 1 - 0 +6.2 -2.6 +9.9
  Jan 05, 2012 188   @ Western Kentucky W 72-70 OT 36%     7 - 8 2 - 0 +3.9 -5.4 +9.1
  Jan 07, 2012 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 53-65 11%     7 - 9 2 - 1 -0.4 -16.4 +16.8
  Jan 12, 2012 205   South Alabama L 65-70 64%     7 - 10 2 - 2 -10.5 -14.0 +3.8
  Jan 14, 2012 231   Florida International W 87-81 OT 70%     8 - 10 3 - 2 -1.2 +2.2 -4.1
  Jan 19, 2012 183   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 68-49 34%     9 - 10 4 - 2 +21.4 -4.1 +24.6
  Jan 21, 2012 193   @ Arkansas St. L 74-79 36%     9 - 11 4 - 3 -3.3 -0.7 -2.5
  Jan 25, 2012 159   North Texas W 64-62 53%     10 - 11 5 - 3 -0.7 -7.8 +7.1
  Jan 28, 2012 309   @ Louisiana Monroe W 67-60 69%     11 - 11 6 - 3 -0.1 -14.4 +14.0
  Feb 02, 2012 79   Denver W 72-71 OT 32%     12 - 11 7 - 3 +4.0 -9.3 +13.1
  Feb 04, 2012 267   @ Troy W 83-78 53%     13 - 11 8 - 3 +2.2 -6.5 +8.1
  Feb 09, 2012 183   Arkansas Little Rock L 70-72 OT 60%     13 - 12 8 - 4 -6.5 -11.4 +5.2
  Feb 11, 2012 193   Arkansas St. W 68-65 OT 62%     14 - 12 9 - 4 -2.1 -11.9 +9.7
  Feb 16, 2012 79   @ Denver L 52-77 14%     14 - 13 9 - 5 -15.2 -16.3 +0.2
  Feb 18, 2012 159   @ North Texas W 57-53 28%     15 - 13 10 - 5 +8.1 -12.8 +20.8
  Feb 25, 2012 309   Louisiana Monroe L 60-78 87%     15 - 14 10 - 6 -31.9 -23.2 -8.0
  Mar 04, 2012 159   North Texas L 62-65 40%     15 - 15 -2.3 -11.4 +9.1
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%