Pre-tourney Rankings
Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#244
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#225
Pace72.3#68
Improvement-2.3#255

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#170
Improvement-2.0#266

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#291
Improvement-0.3#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 229   Central Connecticut St. W 102-93 OT 59%     1 - 0 +1.9 +1.2 -1.5
  Nov 17, 2011 6   @ Missouri L 52-83 2%     1 - 1 -9.3 -16.1 +6.7
  Nov 21, 2011 60   South Dakota St. L 71-79 12%     1 - 2 -0.2 -8.6 +9.1
  Nov 22, 2011 115   @ Mercer L 55-74 14%     1 - 3 -11.9 -10.6 -2.0
  Nov 23, 2011 270   Sam Houston St. W 59-52 56%     2 - 3 +0.8 -3.8 +5.6
  Nov 28, 2011 312   @ St. Francis (PA) W 65-63 61%     3 - 3 -5.6 -3.1 -2.3
  Dec 02, 2011 120   Fairfield L 75-79 33%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -4.1 +6.0 -10.2
  Dec 04, 2011 48   Iona L 62-98 17%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -30.8 -15.1 -14.8
  Dec 07, 2011 103   Buffalo L 74-82 28%     3 - 6 -6.7 +0.7 -7.3
  Dec 10, 2011 304   @ Hartford W 79-76 55%     4 - 6 -3.2 +6.4 -9.5
  Dec 13, 2011 63   Drexel L 58-71 20%     4 - 7 -8.9 -5.9 -4.3
  Dec 22, 2011 160   @ Quinnipiac L 81-85 20%     4 - 8 -0.1 +3.5 -3.2
  Dec 28, 2011 340   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 92-75 91%     5 - 8 -2.9 +5.6 -9.2
  Dec 30, 2011 57   St. Bonaventure L 70-72 19%     5 - 9 +2.7 -4.6 +7.4
  Jan 02, 2012 135   @ Loyola Maryland W 66-61 16%     6 - 9 1 - 2 +10.7 -1.8 +12.6
  Jan 06, 2012 48   @ Iona L 61-73 7%     6 - 10 1 - 3 +0.0 -8.5 +8.0
  Jan 08, 2012 233   @ Siena L 60-72 34%     6 - 11 1 - 4 -12.5 -10.1 -2.6
  Jan 13, 2012 315   St. Peter's W 85-73 83%     7 - 11 2 - 4 -2.9 +0.3 -4.3
  Jan 15, 2012 258   Marist W 86-67 66%     8 - 11 3 - 4 +9.9 +0.6 +7.4
  Jan 19, 2012 328   @ Canisius W 75-56 67%     9 - 11 4 - 4 +9.6 +3.3 +7.9
  Jan 22, 2012 127   @ Manhattan L 64-71 16%     9 - 12 4 - 5 -0.9 -4.9 +4.0
  Jan 27, 2012 135   Loyola Maryland L 57-69 36%     9 - 13 4 - 6 -13.1 -9.8 -4.6
  Jan 29, 2012 127   Manhattan L 70-87 35%     9 - 14 4 - 7 -17.8 -2.6 -15.0
  Feb 03, 2012 120   @ Fairfield L 69-77 14%     9 - 15 4 - 8 -1.3 +3.4 -4.8
  Feb 05, 2012 221   @ Rider L 73-74 32%     9 - 16 4 - 9 -0.8 -6.3 +5.5
  Feb 09, 2012 233   Siena W 58-54 60%     10 - 16 5 - 9 -3.3 -6.3 +3.7
  Feb 11, 2012 221   Rider W 84-82 57%     11 - 16 6 - 9 -4.6 -1.9 -2.9
  Feb 15, 2012 328   Canisius W 60-57 OT 86%     12 - 16 7 - 9 -13.2 -23.7 +10.3
  Feb 18, 2012 139   @ Vermont L 70-92 16%     12 - 17 -16.4 +6.8 -25.1
  Feb 24, 2012 315   @ St. Peter's W 59-56 63%     13 - 17 8 - 9 -5.1 -12.6 +7.6
  Feb 26, 2012 258   @ Marist L 77-89 40%     13 - 18 8 - 10 -14.3 -9.1 -3.2
  Mar 02, 2012 328   Canisius W 80-70 78%     14 - 18 -2.8 +2.6 -5.1
  Mar 03, 2012 135   Loyola Maryland L 73-86 25%     14 - 19 -10.7 +7.5 -19.2
Projected Record 14.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%