Pre-tourney Rankings
VMI
Big South
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#281
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#254
Pace84.9#4
Improvement+5.7#16

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#186
Improvement-2.6#285

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#321
Improvement+8.3#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 319   The Citadel W 103-100 69%     1 - 0 -9.1 +6.8 -16.4
  Nov 12, 2011 173   Air Force L 65-75 26%     1 - 1 -10.4 -6.7 -3.8
  Nov 19, 2011 340   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 84-79 88%     2 - 1 -14.9 -0.6 -14.5
  Nov 23, 2011 2   @ Ohio St. L 74-107 1%     2 - 2 -9.6 -2.0 -1.2
  Dec 01, 2011 206   @ Coastal Carolina L 78-87 22%     2 - 3 0 - 1 -7.7 -6.5 +0.1
  Dec 03, 2011 184   @ Charleston Southern L 81-114 19%     2 - 4 0 - 2 -30.7 -3.2 -23.1
  Dec 06, 2011 68   @ Pittsburgh L 70-97 6%     2 - 5 -16.5 -6.9 -7.1
  Dec 12, 2011 342   @ Longwood L 89-110 74%     2 - 6 -34.7 -3.3 -29.7
  Dec 22, 2011 107   @ Old Dominion L 73-81 9%     2 - 7 -0.4 -2.0 +2.7
  Dec 31, 2011 253   Presbyterian W 78-70 OT 57%     3 - 7 1 - 2 -0.8 -7.3 +5.8
  Jan 02, 2012 273   Gardner-Webb W 76-72 61%     4 - 7 2 - 2 -5.8 -5.1 -1.0
  Jan 05, 2012 122   @ UNC Asheville L 85-94 11%     4 - 8 2 - 3 -2.5 +5.3 -7.1
  Jan 07, 2012 264   @ Winthrop L 84-91 34%     4 - 9 2 - 4 -9.6 +5.6 -14.5
  Jan 10, 2012 285   Liberty W 71-57 64%     5 - 9 3 - 4 +3.3 -4.4 +8.7
  Jan 14, 2012 313   Radford W 80-76 77%     6 - 9 4 - 4 -10.6 +5.1 -15.7
  Jan 19, 2012 235   High Point W 88-77 53%     7 - 9 5 - 4 +3.2 +2.7 -0.1
  Jan 21, 2012 245   @ Campbell L 73-80 30%     7 - 10 5 - 5 -8.4 -9.8 +2.0
  Jan 26, 2012 313   @ Radford W 65-60 54%     8 - 10 6 - 5 -2.8 -13.6 +10.4
  Feb 02, 2012 122   UNC Asheville L 86-89 26%     8 - 11 6 - 6 -3.3 +3.2 -6.3
  Feb 04, 2012 264   Winthrop W 86-79 60%     9 - 11 7 - 6 -2.4 +8.9 -11.6
  Feb 09, 2012 253   @ Presbyterian L 74-94 32%     9 - 12 7 - 7 -22.0 -1.2 -21.1
  Feb 11, 2012 273   @ Gardner-Webb L 61-77 35%     9 - 13 7 - 8 -19.0 -17.8 +0.6
  Feb 14, 2012 285   @ Liberty L 69-78 38%     9 - 14 7 - 9 -12.9 -11.6 -0.8
  Feb 18, 2012 290   William & Mary W 73-65 66%     10 - 14 -3.1 -11.1 +7.5
  Feb 23, 2012 184   Charleston Southern W 90-81 41%     11 - 14 8 - 9 +4.5 -5.3 +7.9
  Feb 25, 2012 206   Coastal Carolina L 64-81 44%     11 - 15 8 - 10 -22.5 -16.3 -5.1
  Feb 27, 2012 313   Radford W 55-53 77%     12 - 15 -12.6 -16.5 +4.0
  Feb 29, 2012 206   Coastal Carolina W 85-68 32%     13 - 15 +14.9 +15.9 +0.1
  Mar 01, 2012 264   Winthrop W 75-55 46%     14 - 15 +14.0 +4.3 +10.1
  Mar 03, 2012 122   @ UNC Asheville L 64-80 11%     14 - 16 -9.5 -9.1 -0.4
Projected Record 14.0 - 16.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%