Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
138 Mercer 0.0%   21 - 11 14 - 4 21 - 11 14 - 4 +1.7      +0.3 169 +1.4 129 60.4 305 +1.0 158 +1.1 1
140 Florida Gulf Coast 100.0%   15   22 - 10 13 - 5 22 - 10 13 - 5 +1.6      +0.5 161 +1.1 140 73.5 54 +2.3 134 -0.7 2
214 South Carolina Upstate 0.0%   14 - 17 9 - 9 14 - 17 9 - 9 -2.6      -0.2 178 -2.4 241 67.5 174 -5.4 249 -6.4 6
243 Stetson 0.0%   14 - 16 11 - 7 14 - 16 11 - 7 -4.7      -1.5 215 -3.1 260 72.9 61 -4.9 243 -3.1 3
257 North Florida 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -5.6      -1.4 209 -4.2 286 68.1 155 -6.1 259 -7.5 8
258 Northern Kentucky 0.0%   11 - 16 9 - 9 11 - 16 9 - 9 -5.7      -3.5 265 -2.2 239 55.4 345 -6.6 266 -6.0 5
296 Jacksonville 0.0%   12 - 18 9 - 9 12 - 18 9 - 9 -8.7      -4.9 297 -3.8 276 74.7 42 -6.8 273 -5.6 4
304 Lipscomb 0.0%   11 - 18 7 - 11 11 - 18 7 - 11 -9.3      -3.5 266 -5.8 314 77.7 19 -6.7 270 -8.5 9
324 East Tennessee St. 0.0%   9 - 22 8 - 10 9 - 22 8 - 10 -11.4      -4.6 287 -6.9 327 65.3 224 -8.2 293 -6.7 7
336 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   3 - 27 2 - 16 3 - 27 2 - 16 -14.5      -7.7 325 -6.7 325 64.2 247 -18.0 343 -17.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Mercer 1.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 2.0 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 4.0 100.0
Stetson 3.0 100.0
North Florida 7.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 4.0 100.0
Jacksonville 4.0 100.0
Lipscomb 9.0 100.0
East Tennessee St. 7.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Mercer 14 - 4 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 13 - 5 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 9 - 9 100.0
Stetson 11 - 7 100.0
North Florida 8 - 10 100.0
Northern Kentucky 9 - 9 100.0
Jacksonville 9 - 9 100.0
Lipscomb 7 - 11 100.0
East Tennessee St. 8 - 10 100.0
Kennesaw St. 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Mercer 100.0% 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast
South Carolina Upstate
Stetson
North Florida
Northern Kentucky
Jacksonville
Lipscomb
East Tennessee St.
Kennesaw St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.8 28.5 70.5 0.2
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.2% 0.1 92.8 7.2
Sweet Sixteen 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0