Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
83 Stephen F. Austin 0.1%   23 - 4 16 - 2 23 - 4 16 - 2 +5.7      -1.8 219 +7.5 16 57.5 331 +8.1 62 +6.4 1
131 Northwestern St. 100.0%   15   19 - 8 15 - 3 19 - 8 15 - 3 +2.4      +3.4 87 -1.0 200 84.8 1 +4.0 108 +4.3 2
163 Oral Roberts 0.0%   17 - 14 13 - 5 17 - 14 13 - 5 +0.1      +1.8 130 -1.7 219 66.3 200 -0.6 180 +0.2 3
235 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   14 - 17 8 - 10 14 - 17 8 - 10 -4.2      -5.8 302 +1.6 124 60.8 296 -5.3 248 -7.7 6
280 SE Louisiana 0.0%   11 - 18 10 - 8 11 - 18 10 - 8 -7.3      -4.7 290 -2.6 245 67.9 158 -6.7 269 -4.0 4
288 Nicholls St. 0.0%   9 - 21 8 - 10 9 - 21 8 - 10 -8.2      -3.1 254 -5.1 304 70.8 101 -10.1 310 -7.2 5
299 McNeese St. 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 11 11 - 17 7 - 11 -9.1      -4.2 280 -4.9 298 64.4 243 -6.3 261 -8.7 8
301 Central Arkansas 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 11 11 - 17 7 - 11 -9.1      -1.9 221 -7.2 330 83.3 3 -8.1 291 -8.7 7
310 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   5 - 23 5 - 13 5 - 23 5 - 13 -9.6      -4.3 281 -5.4 308 60.5 302 -13.6 332 -12.2 9
346 Lamar 0.0%   3 - 28 1 - 17 3 - 28 1 - 17 -18.9      -12.5 346 -6.5 322 77.2 22 -17.1 342 -21.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Stephen F. Austin 1.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 2.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 3.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 5.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 4.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 5.0 100.0
McNeese St. 7.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 7.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 9.0 100.0
Lamar 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Stephen F. Austin 16 - 2 100.0
Northwestern St. 15 - 3 100.0
Oral Roberts 13 - 5 100.0
Sam Houston St. 8 - 10 100.0
SE Louisiana 10 - 8 100.0
Nicholls St. 8 - 10 100.0
McNeese St. 7 - 11 100.0
Central Arkansas 7 - 11 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 5 - 13 100.0
Lamar 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0
Northwestern St.
Oral Roberts
Sam Houston St.
SE Louisiana
Nicholls St.
McNeese St.
Central Arkansas
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Lamar


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Stephen F. Austin 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Northwestern St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   1.8 38.6 59.5 0.1
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Stephen F. Austin 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 8.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 8.7% 0.1 91.3 8.7
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0