Pre-tourney Rankings
Bucknell
Patriot League
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#61
Expected Predictive Rating+10.5#45
Pace61.6#287
Improvement-2.9#292

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#101
Improvement-4.3#334

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#45
Improvement+1.4#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round27.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 73   @ Purdue W 70-65 41%     1 - 0 +15.3 +5.4 +9.9
  Nov 13, 2012 145   George Mason W 61-56 82%     2 - 0 +3.1 -3.7 +7.5
  Nov 16, 2012 133   @ Niagara W 88-71 60%     3 - 0 +22.5 +20.7 +2.6
  Nov 17, 2012 87   New Mexico St. W 62-49 59%     4 - 0 +18.6 +0.4 +19.8
  Nov 23, 2012 143   @ Penn St. L 57-60 62%     4 - 1 +1.8 -6.4 +7.9
  Nov 27, 2012 270   Dartmouth W 62-49 94%     5 - 1 +3.4 -10.8 +15.3
  Dec 01, 2012 201   @ Columbia W 65-57 73%     6 - 1 +9.5 -2.4 +12.5
  Dec 04, 2012 117   Kent St. W 76-60 77%     7 - 1 +16.2 +12.9 +5.6
  Dec 15, 2012 55   La Salle W 74-66 59%     8 - 1 +13.7 +8.2 +6.0
  Dec 17, 2012 329   @ St. Francis (PA) W 76-49 94%     9 - 1 +17.8 +3.2 +16.4
  Dec 19, 2012 228   Marist W 71-65 91%     10 - 1 -1.1 -7.4 +6.1
  Dec 22, 2012 104   @ Princeton L 67-79 51%     10 - 2 -4.4 +8.7 -15.4
  Dec 28, 2012 128   @ Loyola Maryland W 66-46 59%     11 - 2 +25.7 +4.2 +24.2
  Jan 02, 2013 255   @ Cornell W 72-56 83%     12 - 2 +13.8 +2.6 +12.7
  Jan 05, 2013 19   @ Missouri L 64-66 20%     12 - 3 +14.7 +2.8 +11.7
  Jan 12, 2013 152   Army W 76-55 84%     13 - 3 1 - 0 +18.5 +3.1 +16.2
  Jan 16, 2013 267   @ Colgate W 73-59 85%     14 - 3 2 - 0 +11.1 +2.3 +9.6
  Jan 19, 2013 164   Lafayette W 66-51 85%     15 - 3 3 - 0 +11.9 -3.6 +17.2
  Jan 23, 2013 106   Lehigh L 62-65 75%     15 - 4 3 - 1 -2.0 -8.6 +6.5
  Jan 26, 2013 232   @ Holy Cross W 65-58 80%     16 - 4 4 - 1 +6.2 -0.8 +7.8
  Jan 30, 2013 268   @ American W 56-55 85%     17 - 4 5 - 1 -1.9 -10.2 +8.5
  Feb 02, 2013 305   Navy W 69-54 96%     18 - 4 6 - 1 +2.4 -5.2 +7.9
  Feb 09, 2013 152   @ Army W 60-58 65%     19 - 4 7 - 1 +6.0 -6.0 +12.2
  Feb 13, 2013 267   Colgate W 69-61 94%     20 - 4 8 - 1 -1.3 -1.1 +0.6
  Feb 16, 2013 164   @ Lafayette L 62-63 67%     20 - 5 8 - 2 +2.4 -9.3 +11.6
  Feb 18, 2013 106   @ Lehigh W 61-55 52%     21 - 5 9 - 2 +13.5 -3.9 +17.9
  Feb 24, 2013 232   Holy Cross W 74-57 92%     22 - 5 10 - 2 +9.7 +8.4 +3.8
  Feb 27, 2013 268   American W 66-47 94%     23 - 5 11 - 2 +9.6 +2.8 +11.0
  Mar 02, 2013 305   @ Navy W 62-46 90%     24 - 5 12 - 2 +9.9 +4.7 +9.1
  Mar 06, 2013 305   Navy W 58-42 96%     25 - 5 +3.4 -2.7 +10.2
  Mar 09, 2013 152   Army W 78-70 84%     26 - 5 +5.5 +7.0 -1.0
  Mar 13, 2013 164   Lafayette W 64-56 85%     27 - 5 +4.9 -3.1 +9.3
Projected Record 27.0 - 5.0 12.0 - 2.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.8 0.0 0.2 22.8 75.3 1.7
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.2 22.8 75.3 1.7