Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
Conference USA
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#33
Expected Predictive Rating+15.2#14
Pace74.8#38
Improvement+1.7#98

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#66
Improvement+0.0#167

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#17
Improvement+1.7#82
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 43.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 97.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round62.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen28.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.4% n/a n/a
Final Four3.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2012 257   North Florida W 81-66 96%     1 - 0 +6.2 +1.5 +4.5
  Nov 17, 2012 287   Samford W 65-54 97%     2 - 0 -0.3 +0.5 +1.7
  Nov 22, 2012 20   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-78 43%     2 - 1 +0.5 -4.8 +5.8
  Nov 23, 2012 27   Minnesota L 75-84 47%     2 - 2 +3.4 +5.5 -1.8
  Nov 24, 2012 64   Northern Iowa W 52-47 65%     3 - 2 +12.7 -9.3 +22.7
  Nov 29, 2012 334   Tennessee Martin W 93-65 99%     4 - 2 +10.6 +1.6 +6.3
  Dec 05, 2012 80   Ohio W 84-58 80%     5 - 2 +28.7 +11.9 +16.5
  Dec 08, 2012 314   Austin Peay W 83-65 98%     6 - 2 +4.8 -6.5 +9.7
  Dec 15, 2012 1   Louisville L 78-87 28%     6 - 3 +8.7 +9.9 -0.5
  Dec 20, 2012 304   Lipscomb W 62-56 98%     7 - 3 -6.5 -24.5 +17.4
  Dec 28, 2012 163   Oral Roberts W 72-57 91%     8 - 3 +11.9 +1.1 +11.9
  Dec 30, 2012 128   Loyola Maryland W 78-64 87%     9 - 3 +13.3 -0.6 +13.0
  Jan 04, 2013 60   @ Tennessee W 85-80 51%     10 - 3 +16.4 +12.8 +3.3
  Jan 09, 2013 158   East Carolina W 67-54 90%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +10.3 -7.5 +18.4
  Jan 12, 2013 167   @ UAB W 69-53 79%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +19.2 -2.2 +21.1
  Jan 16, 2013 321   @ Rice W 77-51 95%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +18.4 +4.1 +16.1
  Jan 19, 2013 108   Harvard W 60-50 84%     14 - 3 +10.9 -14.7 +25.5
  Jan 22, 2013 156   Tulane W 71-60 90%     15 - 3 4 - 0 +8.4 -3.1 +11.8
  Jan 26, 2013 224   Marshall W 73-72 95%     16 - 3 5 - 0 -5.8 -5.4 -0.4
  Jan 30, 2013 158   @ East Carolina W 75-68 77%     17 - 3 6 - 0 +10.8 -3.6 +14.0
  Feb 02, 2013 175   Tulsa W 94-64 92%     18 - 3 7 - 0 +26.2 +15.4 +8.9
  Feb 06, 2013 181   @ SMU W 60-52 81%     19 - 3 8 - 0 +10.3 -8.3 +18.9
  Feb 09, 2013 59   @ Southern Miss W 89-76 51%     20 - 3 9 - 0 +24.5 +16.9 +7.1
  Feb 13, 2013 134   Central Florida W 93-71 88%     21 - 3 10 - 0 +21.0 +12.4 +7.1
  Feb 16, 2013 224   @ Marshall W 71-59 87%     22 - 3 11 - 0 +11.7 -2.8 +14.5
  Feb 20, 2013 180   Houston W 81-74 92%     23 - 3 12 - 0 +3.0 -1.7 +4.5
  Feb 23, 2013 59   Southern Miss W 89-73 74%     24 - 3 13 - 0 +21.0 +10.7 +9.2
  Feb 26, 2013 76   @ Xavier L 62-64 57%     24 - 4 +7.8 -3.0 +10.8
  Mar 02, 2013 134   @ Central Florida W 76-67 72%     25 - 4 14 - 0 +14.5 -0.9 +14.6
  Mar 05, 2013 110   @ UTEP W 56-54 67%     26 - 4 15 - 0 +9.2 -6.2 +15.6
  Mar 09, 2013 167   UAB W 86-71 91%     27 - 4 16 - 0 +11.7 +0.4 +9.2
  Mar 14, 2013 156   Tulane W 81-68 85%     28 - 4 +13.6 +3.4 +9.8
  Mar 15, 2013 175   Tulsa W 85-74 87%     29 - 4 +10.5 +14.4 -3.9
  Mar 16, 2013 59   Southern Miss W 91-79 2OT 63%     30 - 4 +20.2 +4.6 +13.5
Projected Record 30.0 - 4.0 16.0 - 0.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.7 0.1 0.3 8.8 33.8 38.6 16.2 2.1 0.1
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4.7 0.1 0.3 8.8 33.8 38.6 16.2 2.1 0.1