Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#148
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#89
Pace62.6#274
Improvement+2.1#87

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#127
Improvement+1.2#106

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#199
Improvement+0.8#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 24   @ Colorado St. L 65-72 9%     0 - 1 +8.9 +0.3 +8.2
  Nov 17, 2012 200   @ Idaho W 66-63 47%     1 - 1 +4.5 -7.4 +12.2
  Nov 24, 2012 162   San Diego W 67-66 65%     2 - 1 -2.1 +1.0 -2.9
  Nov 28, 2012 62   BYU L 60-85 25%     2 - 2 -17.0 -7.9 -9.5
  Nov 30, 2012 136   @ San Francisco L 68-78 33%     2 - 3 -4.7 -4.9 +0.3
  Dec 15, 2012 107   South Dakota St. L 67-68 2OT 50%     2 - 4 +0.0 -14.8 +14.8
  Dec 19, 2012 307   @ Northern Arizona W 62-56 75%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -0.3 -14.4 +14.2
  Dec 21, 2012 286   @ Sacramento St. W 61-60 71%     4 - 4 2 - 0 -3.7 -5.4 +1.9
  Jan 03, 2013 300   Eastern Washington W 81-66 89%     5 - 4 3 - 0 +2.6 +15.5 -10.3
  Jan 05, 2013 312   Portland St. W 62-55 90%     6 - 4 4 - 0 -6.0 -16.9 +11.6
  Jan 10, 2013 264   @ North Dakota W 77-62 64%     7 - 4 5 - 0 +12.3 +5.3 +7.3
  Jan 12, 2013 251   @ Northern Colorado W 85-77 61%     8 - 4 6 - 0 +5.9 +21.0 -13.8
  Jan 17, 2013 313   Southern Utah W 73-67 90%     9 - 4 7 - 0 -7.1 -5.0 -2.2
  Jan 19, 2013 311   Montana St. W 76-71 OT 90%     10 - 4 8 - 0 -7.9 -5.8 -2.1
  Jan 24, 2013 320   Idaho St. W 70-51 91%     11 - 4 9 - 0 +4.9 +4.4 +3.9
  Jan 26, 2013 105   Weber St. W 76-74 49%     12 - 4 10 - 0 +3.0 +1.9 +1.1
  Jan 31, 2013 312   @ Portland St. W 81-68 76%     13 - 4 11 - 0 +6.5 +5.8 +1.7
  Feb 02, 2013 300   @ Eastern Washington W 65-46 74%     14 - 4 12 - 0 +13.1 -2.3 +18.0
  Feb 07, 2013 251   Northern Colorado W 73-63 81%     15 - 4 13 - 0 +1.5 -7.8 +9.2
  Feb 09, 2013 264   North Dakota W 78-58 83%     16 - 4 14 - 0 +10.8 -3.7 +13.1
  Feb 14, 2013 105   @ Weber St. L 63-87 26%     16 - 5 14 - 1 -16.5 -2.4 -16.1
  Feb 16, 2013 320   @ Idaho St. W 61-54 79%     17 - 5 15 - 1 -0.6 -0.8 +1.7
  Feb 23, 2013 70   @ Davidson L 87-93 OT 18%     17 - 6 +4.4 +12.0 -7.2
  Mar 02, 2013 311   @ Montana St. W 71-68 76%     18 - 6 16 - 1 -3.4 -2.1 -1.0
  Mar 04, 2013 313   @ Southern Utah W 86-74 OT 76%     19 - 6 17 - 1 +5.4 +10.1 -5.0
  Mar 07, 2013 286   Sacramento St. W 63-52 87%     20 - 6 18 - 1 -0.2 -4.7 +6.3
  Mar 09, 2013 307   Northern Arizona W 63-50 89%     21 - 6 19 - 1 +0.3 -8.0 +10.0
  Mar 15, 2013 251   Northern Colorado W 70-56 81%     22 - 6 +5.5 -4.3 +10.9
  Mar 16, 2013 105   Weber St. W 67-64 49%     23 - 6 +4.0 +0.2 +4.2
Projected Record 23.0 - 6.0 19.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.3 0.0 4.6 60.9 34.6 0.0
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 4.6 60.9 34.6 0.0