Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#190
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#193
Pace66.3#201
Improvement-2.6#277

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#262
Improvement-3.7#321

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#112
Improvement+1.1#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four88.3% n/a n/a
First Round55.4% n/a n/a
Second Round1.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 35   @ Iowa St. L 59-82 8%     0 - 1 -8.3 -20.6 +16.0
  Nov 11, 2012 123   @ Nebraska L 55-66 24%     0 - 2 -4.9 -7.3 +1.1
  Nov 14, 2012 247   South Dakota W 83-79 65%     1 - 2 -1.0 -1.1 -0.1
  Nov 15, 2012 177   NC Central L 55-59 48%     1 - 3 -4.6 -17.6 +13.2
  Nov 16, 2012 89   @ Wyoming L 60-67 18%     1 - 4 +1.6 +0.7 +0.0
  Nov 24, 2012 156   @ Tulane L 65-68 31%     1 - 5 +0.8 -6.3 +7.1
  Dec 13, 2012 326   @ Louisiana Monroe W 68-39 77%     2 - 5 +20.2 -5.2 +27.0
  Dec 18, 2012 254   @ TCU L 57-68 54%     2 - 6 -13.1 -4.7 -10.2
  Dec 22, 2012 95   @ Texas A&M W 53-51 19%     3 - 6 +10.2 -6.3 +16.8
  Jan 02, 2013 170   Texas Southern W 63-57 59%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +2.5 -3.2 +6.6
  Jan 04, 2013 325   Prairie View W 50-45 90%     5 - 6 2 - 0 -10.2 -12.2 +3.4
  Jan 06, 2013 347   @ Grambling St. W 82-43 99%     6 - 6 3 - 0 +10.4 -1.4 +12.7
  Jan 08, 2013 319   @ Jackson St. W 80-67 73%     7 - 6 4 - 0 +5.5 +8.1 -1.8
  Jan 12, 2013 281   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 84-50 81%     8 - 6 5 - 0 +23.4 +8.4 +14.9
  Jan 14, 2013 342   Mississippi Valley W 88-54 94%     9 - 6 6 - 0 +15.4 +12.7 +5.0
  Jan 19, 2013 333   @ Alabama St. W 79-67 81%     10 - 6 7 - 0 +1.4 +0.9 +0.4
  Jan 21, 2013 339   @ Alabama A&M W 82-68 83%     11 - 6 8 - 0 +2.4 -0.5 +2.1
  Jan 26, 2013 330   @ Alcorn St. L 57-61 78%     11 - 7 8 - 1 -13.4 -10.5 -3.3
  Feb 02, 2013 347   Grambling St. W 59-31 99%     12 - 7 9 - 1 -7.1 -22.8 +18.9
  Feb 04, 2013 319   Jackson St. W 78-58 88%     13 - 7 10 - 1 +6.0 -4.9 +10.2
  Feb 09, 2013 281   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 52-55 61%     13 - 8 10 - 2 -7.1 -15.1 +7.8
  Feb 11, 2013 342   @ Mississippi Valley W 78-74 85%     14 - 8 11 - 2 -8.2 -5.7 -2.7
  Feb 16, 2013 333   Alabama St. W 58-49 92%     15 - 8 12 - 2 -8.1 -19.8 +12.2
  Feb 18, 2013 339   Alabama A&M W 81-67 93%     16 - 8 13 - 2 -4.0 +1.4 -5.2
  Feb 23, 2013 330   Alcorn St. W 61-48 91%     17 - 8 14 - 2 -2.9 -8.8 +7.2
  Feb 28, 2013 170   @ Texas Southern L 66-79 34%     17 - 9 14 - 3 -10.0 -8.2 -1.4
  Mar 02, 2013 325   @ Prairie View W 61-39 76%     18 - 9 15 - 3 +13.3 -6.6 +21.7
  Mar 15, 2013 339   Alabama A&M W 72-59 89%     19 - 9 -1.8 -5.0 +3.6
  Mar 16, 2013 325   Prairie View W 45-44 84%     20 - 9 -10.9 -20.6 +9.8
Projected Record 20.0 - 9.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0