Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
64 Green Bay 2.7%   21 - 6 14 - 2 21 - 6 14 - 2 +8.0      +2.5 113 +5.5 49 70.0 122 +8.9 63 +11.0 1
93 Cleveland St. 0.0%   19 - 11 12 - 4 19 - 11 12 - 4 +5.6      +4.2 72 +1.3 134 63.5 285 +4.1 111 +6.7 2
145 Wright St. 0.0%   18 - 14 10 - 6 18 - 14 10 - 6 +1.6      -2.8 252 +4.4 61 64.1 273 +0.3 162 +3.7 3
160 Valparaiso 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 7 15 - 15 9 - 7 +0.4      -1.2 206 +1.6 125 66.7 204 +0.3 163 +2.2 4
164 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 100.0%   15   20 - 13 7 - 9 20 - 13 7 - 9 +0.2      -0.1 182 +0.3 159 70.5 109 +2.8 131 -0.9 6
182 Youngstown St. 0.0%   12 - 17 6 - 10 12 - 17 6 - 10 -1.0      +2.4 116 -3.4 262 70.6 105 -2.5 207 -2.3 8
185 Oakland 0.0%   11 - 20 7 - 9 11 - 20 7 - 9 -1.3      +3.6 87 -5.0 297 71.3 93 -1.3 184 -0.7 5
191 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   11 - 19 6 - 10 11 - 19 6 - 10 -1.6      -2.4 239 +0.9 149 70.7 102 -2.5 206 -2.2 7
266 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   4 - 25 1 - 15 4 - 25 1 - 15 -5.7      -3.5 267 -2.2 228 67.8 170 -9.7 306 -14.0 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Green Bay 1.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 2.0 100.0
Wright St. 3.0 100.0
Valparaiso 4.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 7.0 100.0
Oakland 5.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 7.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Green Bay 14 - 2 100.0
Cleveland St. 12 - 4 100.0
Wright St. 10 - 6 100.0
Valparaiso 9 - 7 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7 - 9 100.0
Youngstown St. 6 - 10 100.0
Oakland 7 - 9 100.0
Detroit Mercy 6 - 10 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Green Bay 100.0% 100.0
Cleveland St.
Wright St.
Valparaiso
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Youngstown St.
Oakland
Detroit Mercy
Illinois-Chicago


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Green Bay 2.7% 0.0% 2.7% 0.0 0.2 2.5 0.0 97.3 2.7%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 2.1 97.0 0.9
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Green Bay 2.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 97.3 2.7
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 98.8 1.2
2nd Round 5.6% 0.1 94.4 5.6 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0