Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-Eastern
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
94 NC Central 100.0%   14   26 - 5 15 - 1 26 - 5 15 - 1 +5.2      +1.7 133 +3.5 85 63.6 282 +6.2 81 +4.9 1
220 Hampton 0.0%   18 - 12 13 - 3 18 - 12 13 - 3 -3.3      -6.5 316 +3.2 90 80.3 12 -3.8 228 -0.7 2
224 Morgan St. 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 5 15 - 16 11 - 5 -3.5      -3.3 264 -0.2 175 74.2 47 -4.3 243 -3.9 4
258 Norfolk St. 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 5 16 - 14 11 - 5 -5.3      -1.9 226 -3.4 261 64.5 267 -4.4 244 -3.2 3
280 Savannah St. 0.0%   11 - 19 10 - 6 11 - 19 10 - 6 -6.7      -9.6 347 +2.9 96 65.4 242 -9.4 300 -6.1 5
295 Coppin St. 0.0%   11 - 20 7 - 9 11 - 20 7 - 9 -8.7      -3.2 262 -5.5 311 70.8 99 -8.5 292 -9.6 7
302 Florida A&M 0.0%   12 - 18 8 - 8 12 - 18 8 - 8 -9.2      -7.8 332 -1.5 216 80.7 9 -8.3 289 -8.6 6
313 Delaware St. 0.0%   7 - 21 5 - 11 7 - 21 5 - 11 -10.0      -5.5 302 -4.5 290 56.5 348 -13.5 332 -14.1 12
332 Howard 0.0%   6 - 25 5 - 11 6 - 25 5 - 11 -13.0      -11.8 351 -1.2 207 70.1 121 -12.8 327 -12.0 8
333 Bethune-Cookman 0.0%   5 - 25 5 - 11 5 - 25 5 - 11 -13.1      -5.5 300 -7.5 334 60.7 330 -16.2 342 -14.0 11
336 Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0%   5 - 23 4 - 12 5 - 23 4 - 12 -13.4      -3.6 268 -9.9 346 67.7 171 -15.1 338 -14.8 13
338 N.C. A&T 0.0%   8 - 23 5 - 11 8 - 23 5 - 11 -13.8      -8.5 338 -5.3 308 70.0 124 -13.1 329 -13.6 10
341 South Carolina St. 0.0%   7 - 21 5 - 11 7 - 21 5 - 11 -14.4      -9.2 344 -5.2 307 67.7 172 -12.4 323 -13.0 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
NC Central 1.0 100.0
Hampton 2.0 100.0
Morgan St. 3.0 100.0
Norfolk St. 3.0 100.0
Savannah St. 5.0 100.0
Coppin St. 7.0 100.0
Florida A&M 6.0 100.0
Delaware St. 8.0 100.0
Howard 8.0 100.0
Bethune-Cookman 8.0 100.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 13.0 100.0
N.C. A&T 8.0 100.0
South Carolina St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
NC Central 15 - 1 100.0
Hampton 13 - 3 100.0
Morgan St. 11 - 5 100.0
Norfolk St. 11 - 5 100.0
Savannah St. 10 - 6 100.0
Coppin St. 7 - 9 100.0
Florida A&M 8 - 8 100.0
Delaware St. 5 - 11 100.0
Howard 5 - 11 100.0
Bethune-Cookman 5 - 11 100.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 4 - 12 100.0
N.C. A&T 5 - 11 100.0
South Carolina St. 5 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
NC Central 100.0% 100.0
Hampton
Morgan St.
Norfolk St.
Savannah St.
Coppin St.
Florida A&M
Delaware St.
Howard
Bethune-Cookman
Maryland Eastern Shore
N.C. A&T
South Carolina St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
NC Central 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.2 15.1 76.8 7.9
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Morgan St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Norfolk St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Savannah St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Howard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
NC Central 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Savannah St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 14.2% 0.1 85.8 14.2
Sweet Sixteen 3.3% 0.0 96.7 3.3
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0