Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
129 Davidson 0.0%   19 - 12 15 - 1 19 - 12 15 - 1 +2.6      +5.9 38 -3.3 259 70.1 119 +0.1 165 +7.7 1
198 Wofford 100.0%   16   17 - 12 11 - 5 17 - 12 11 - 5 -2.0      -2.6 243 +0.6 152 58.7 340 -2.4 203 -3.6 4
214 Elon 0.0%   16 - 13 11 - 5 16 - 13 11 - 5 -2.9      -0.5 189 -2.4 235 67.6 178 -1.6 186 -3.0 3
245 Western Carolina 0.0%   16 - 15 10 - 6 16 - 15 10 - 6 -4.5      -1.2 204 -3.4 260 69.9 126 -3.9 229 -5.4 5
283 Chattanooga 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 4 15 - 14 12 - 4 -7.1      -3.2 263 -3.8 272 73.7 53 -5.9 262 -1.3 2
296 Georgia Southern 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 10 12 - 19 6 - 10 -8.8      -5.0 290 -3.8 271 67.7 174 -10.1 311 -11.0 8
314 UNC Greensboro 0.0%   11 - 18 7 - 9 11 - 18 7 - 9 -10.0      -7.3 327 -2.8 245 75.9 30 -8.8 298 -8.6 6
319 Samford 0.0%   10 - 20 6 - 10 10 - 20 6 - 10 -11.1      -3.0 256 -8.1 339 69.4 137 -10.3 315 -10.7 7
331 Appalachian St. 0.0%   5 - 21 5 - 11 5 - 21 5 - 11 -12.9      -9.6 348 -3.3 255 68.2 164 -15.7 340 -12.9 9
340 Furman 0.0%   7 - 20 3 - 13 7 - 20 3 - 13 -14.3      -7.2 326 -7.1 332 65.6 236 -12.8 326 -16.7 10
345 The Citadel 0.0%   4 - 25 2 - 14 4 - 25 2 - 14 -14.8      -5.1 293 -9.7 345 65.7 231 -17.6 346 -19.5 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Davidson 1.0 100.0
Wofford 3.0 100.0
Elon 3.0 100.0
Western Carolina 5.0 100.0
Chattanooga 2.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 7.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 6.0 100.0
Samford 7.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 9.0 100.0
Furman 10.0 100.0
The Citadel 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Davidson 15 - 1 100.0
Wofford 11 - 5 100.0
Elon 11 - 5 100.0
Western Carolina 10 - 6 100.0
Chattanooga 12 - 4 100.0
Georgia Southern 6 - 10 100.0
UNC Greensboro 7 - 9 100.0
Samford 6 - 10 100.0
Appalachian St. 5 - 11 100.0
Furman 3 - 13 100.0
The Citadel 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Davidson 100.0% 100.0
Wofford
Elon
Western Carolina
Chattanooga
Georgia Southern
UNC Greensboro
Samford
Appalachian St.
Furman
The Citadel


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wofford 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 27.2 72.8
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 100.0% 9.9% 95.5% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.5% 1.0 4.5 95.5
2nd Round 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0