Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
75 Valparaiso 100.0%   12   25 - 5 13 - 3 25 - 5 13 - 3 +6.4      +3.2 75 +3.2 75 63.9 242 +8.5 53 +7.5 1
79 Green Bay 0.5%   22 - 8 12 - 4 22 - 8 12 - 4 +5.9      +2.9 79 +2.9 79 66.4 166 +6.8 75 +5.4 2
114 Cleveland St. 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 5 16 - 14 11 - 5 +3.5      +1.7 114 +1.7 114 59.1 323 +0.9 150 +3.9 4
157 Oakland 0.0%   14 - 16 11 - 5 14 - 16 11 - 5 +0.4      +0.2 157 +0.2 157 69.9 89 +0.6 156 +4.4 3
190 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   13 - 18 7 - 9 13 - 18 7 - 9 -1.5      -0.8 190 -0.8 190 72.7 39 -1.7 197 -2.2 6
214 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   12 - 16 9 - 7 12 - 16 9 - 7 -2.5      -1.3 214 -1.3 214 66.7 159 -1.5 195 +1.2 5
253 Wright St. 0.0%   9 - 20 3 - 13 9 - 20 3 - 13 -5.0      -2.5 253 -2.5 253 64.0 239 -5.1 251 -9.4 8
279 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   8 - 24 4 - 12 8 - 24 4 - 12 -6.2      -3.1 279 -3.1 279 67.2 143 -7.4 293 -6.9 7
285 Youngstown St. 0.0%   8 - 21 2 - 14 8 - 21 2 - 14 -6.6      -3.3 285 -3.3 285 72.3 47 -6.9 287 -11.9 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Valparaiso 1.0 100.0
Green Bay 2.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 3.0 100.0
Oakland 3.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 6.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5.0 100.0
Wright St. 8.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 7.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Valparaiso 13 - 3 100.0
Green Bay 12 - 4 100.0
Cleveland St. 11 - 5 100.0
Oakland 11 - 5 100.0
Detroit Mercy 7 - 9 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 9 - 7 100.0
Wright St. 3 - 13 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 4 - 12 100.0
Youngstown St. 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Valparaiso 100.0% 100.0
Green Bay
Cleveland St.
Oakland
Detroit Mercy
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Wright St.
Illinois-Chicago
Youngstown St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Valparaiso 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.7 43.5 55.3 0.6
Green Bay 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1 0.4 0.0 99.5 0.5%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Valparaiso 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 23.7% 7.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.5 0.5
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
2nd Round 23.7% 0.2 76.3 23.7 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 7.0% 0.1 93.0 7.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0