Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeast
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
168 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0%   22 - 11 15 - 3 22 - 11 15 - 3 -0.2      -0.1 168 -0.1 168 65.4 189 -0.6 174 +3.4 1
182 Robert Morris 100.0%   16   19 - 14 12 - 6 19 - 14 12 - 6 -1.2      -0.6 182 -0.6 182 68.3 122 -1.4 192 -1.9 3
229 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 9 15 - 15 9 - 9 -3.5      -1.7 229 -1.7 229 61.7 287 -2.8 216 -5.8 6
231 Mount St. Mary's 0.0%   15 - 15 11 - 7 15 - 15 11 - 7 -3.7      -1.8 231 -1.8 231 62.6 268 -3.5 229 -3.2 4
237 Bryant 0.0%   16 - 15 12 - 6 16 - 15 12 - 6 -4.2      -2.1 237 -2.1 237 63.6 252 -2.5 204 -1.4 2
243 Sacred Heart 0.0%   14 - 17 9 - 9 14 - 17 9 - 9 -4.7      -2.3 243 -2.3 243 75.2 22 -5.5 258 -5.7 5
288 LIU Brooklyn 0.0%   12 - 18 8 - 10 12 - 18 8 - 10 -6.8      -3.4 288 -3.4 288 71.9 53 -5.9 269 -6.6 8
306 Wagner 0.0%   9 - 20 8 - 10 9 - 20 8 - 10 -8.5      -4.2 306 -4.2 306 72.1 49 -8.5 303 -6.6 7
320 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0%   7 - 21 3 - 15 7 - 21 3 - 15 -10.3      -5.2 320 -5.2 320 71.5 57 -10.0 316 -14.9 10
340 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   5 - 26 3 - 15 5 - 26 3 - 15 -13.6      -6.8 340 -6.8 340 64.3 228 -14.3 340 -14.3 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
St. Francis Brooklyn 1.0 100.0
Robert Morris 2.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 5.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 4.0 100.0
Bryant 2.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 5.0 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 7.0 100.0
Wagner 7.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 9.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
St. Francis Brooklyn 15 - 3 100.0
Robert Morris 12 - 6 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 9 - 9 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 11 - 7 100.0
Bryant 12 - 6 100.0
Sacred Heart 9 - 9 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 8 - 10 100.0
Wagner 8 - 10 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 3 - 15 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Francis Brooklyn 100.0% 100.0
Robert Morris
St. Francis (PA)
Mount St. Mary's
Bryant
Sacred Heart
LIU Brooklyn
Wagner
Fairleigh Dickinson
Central Connecticut St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.9 99.1
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 100.0% 93.8% 57.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 57.7% 0.6 42.3 57.7
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0