Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
118 Wofford 100.0%   13   26 - 6 16 - 2 26 - 6 16 - 2 +3.2      +1.6 118 +1.6 118 59.0 325 +8.4 54 +6.8 1
162 Chattanooga 0.0%   20 - 10 15 - 3 20 - 10 15 - 3 0.0      0.0 162 0.0 162 67.6 139 +1.1 146 +4.8 2
179 Mercer 0.0%   16 - 15 12 - 6 16 - 15 12 - 6 -1.1      -0.5 179 -0.5 179 58.5 334 -2.8 215 -0.7 3
228 East Tennessee St. 0.0%   14 - 14 8 - 10 14 - 14 8 - 10 -3.4      -1.7 228 -1.7 228 72.9 35 -2.5 210 -6.2 5
236 Western Carolina 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 9 13 - 17 9 - 9 -4.0      -2.0 236 -2.0 236 68.7 113 -3.9 238 -4.7 4
275 UNC Greensboro 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 12 8 - 22 6 - 12 -6.0      -3.0 275 -3.0 275 68.9 107 -10.0 317 -8.8 9
287 Samford 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 12 12 - 19 6 - 12 -6.8      -3.4 287 -3.4 287 71.2 59 -7.5 295 -8.7 8
302 VMI 0.0%   9 - 19 7 - 11 9 - 19 7 - 11 -8.1      -4.0 302 -4.0 302 100.3 1 -8.0 300 -7.0 6
304 Furman 0.0%   9 - 22 5 - 13 9 - 22 5 - 13 -8.3      -4.2 304 -4.2 304 61.5 288 -8.7 305 -10.1 10
323 The Citadel 0.0%   8 - 19 6 - 12 8 - 19 6 - 12 -11.3      -5.7 323 -5.7 323 55.2 346 -9.2 308 -8.1 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Wofford 1.0 100.0
Chattanooga 2.0 100.0
Mercer 3.0 100.0
East Tennessee St. 5.0 100.0
Western Carolina 4.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 7.0 100.0
Samford 7.0 100.0
VMI 6.0 100.0
Furman 10.0 100.0
The Citadel 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Wofford 16 - 2 100.0
Chattanooga 15 - 3 100.0
Mercer 12 - 6 100.0
East Tennessee St. 8 - 10 100.0
Western Carolina 9 - 9 100.0
UNC Greensboro 6 - 12 100.0
Samford 6 - 12 100.0
VMI 7 - 11 100.0
Furman 5 - 13 100.0
The Citadel 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wofford 100.0% 100.0
Chattanooga
Mercer
East Tennessee St.
Western Carolina
UNC Greensboro
Samford
VMI
Furman
The Citadel


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wofford 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.4 41.7 57.3 0.6
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wofford 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 15.2% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 15.2% 0.2 84.8 15.2
Sweet Sixteen 3.2% 0.0 96.8 3.2
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0