Pre-tourney Rankings
West Coast
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
7 Gonzaga 100.0%   2   31 - 2 17 - 1 31 - 2 17 - 1 +19.1      +9.5 7 +9.5 7 67.1 146 +22.2 3 +20.3 1
28 BYU 63.3%   11   23 - 9 13 - 5 23 - 9 13 - 5 +12.0      +6.0 28 +6.0 28 79.5 6 +10.2 42 +10.0 3
60 St. Mary's 3.4%   20 - 9 13 - 5 20 - 9 13 - 5 +7.9      +4.0 60 +4.0 60 60.7 305 +8.3 57 +10.8 2
92 San Diego 0.0%   14 - 16 8 - 10 14 - 16 8 - 10 +4.7      +2.4 92 +2.4 92 63.9 246 +2.7 128 +2.6 5
98 Pepperdine 0.0%   17 - 13 10 - 8 17 - 13 10 - 8 +4.3      +2.2 98 +2.2 98 64.8 210 +4.7 96 +5.9 4
119 Portland 0.0%   15 - 15 7 - 11 15 - 15 7 - 11 +3.1      +1.5 119 +1.5 119 65.9 177 +2.7 129 +1.2 8
128 San Francisco 0.0%   13 - 18 7 - 11 13 - 18 7 - 11 +2.4      +1.2 128 +1.2 128 68.8 110 0.0 162 +1.3 7
163 Santa Clara 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 11 12 - 18 7 - 11 -0.1      -0.1 163 -0.1 163 59.2 321 +0.4 159 +1.6 6
217 Pacific 0.0%   9 - 19 4 - 14 9 - 19 4 - 14 -2.9      -1.4 217 -1.4 217 61.1 295 -2.3 202 -3.3 10
238 Loyola Marymount 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 14 7 - 23 4 - 14 -4.3      -2.2 238 -2.2 238 62.3 272 -3.3 227 -3.0 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Gonzaga 1.0 100.0
BYU 2.0 100.0
St. Mary's 2.0 100.0
San Diego 5.0 100.0
Pepperdine 4.0 100.0
Portland 6.0 100.0
San Francisco 6.0 100.0
Santa Clara 6.0 100.0
Pacific 9.0 100.0
Loyola Marymount 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Gonzaga 17 - 1 100.0
BYU 13 - 5 100.0
St. Mary's 13 - 5 100.0
San Diego 8 - 10 100.0
Pepperdine 10 - 8 100.0
Portland 7 - 11 100.0
San Francisco 7 - 11 100.0
Santa Clara 7 - 11 100.0
Pacific 4 - 14 100.0
Loyola Marymount 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Gonzaga 100.0% 100.0
BYU
St. Mary's
San Diego
Pepperdine
Portland
San Francisco
Santa Clara
Pacific
Loyola Marymount


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Gonzaga 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   13.2 44.3 37.8 4.7 0.0
BYU 63.3% 0.0% 63.3% 11   0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 12.3 37.7 10.8 36.7 63.3%
St. Mary's 3.4% 0.0% 3.4% 0.9 2.4 0.1 96.6 3.4%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Francisco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Santa Clara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Pacific 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Gonzaga 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.8% 73.6% 47.0% 23.8% 11.7% 5.2%
BYU 63.3% 34.0% 49.8% 24.0% 8.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
St. Mary's 3.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Santa Clara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.7 35.2 62.9 1.9
1st Round 100.0% 1.5 49.2 50.1 0.7
2nd Round 96.8% 1.2 3.2 73.4 23.3 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 76.4% 0.8 23.6 70.4 6.1 0.0
Elite Eight 48.6% 0.5 51.4 47.6 1.0
Final Four 24.4% 0.2 75.6 24.3 0.1
Final Game 11.8% 0.1 88.2 11.8 0.0
Champion 5.2% 0.1 94.8 5.2