Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#196
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#190
Pace51.5#351
Improvement-0.8#213

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#196
Improvement+5.8#2

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#196
Improvement-6.6#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 68   @ Temple L 37-40 14%     0 - 1 +6.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Nov 17, 2014 229   St. Francis (PA) W 49-46 67%     1 - 1 -3.4 -3.2 -3.2
  Nov 21, 2014 327   Presbyterian W 63-38 83%     2 - 1 +13.3 -5.9 -5.9
  Nov 22, 2014 84   @ Louisiana Tech L 44-63 17%     2 - 2 -10.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Nov 23, 2014 153   Morehead St. W 51-46 41%     3 - 2 +5.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 26, 2014 265   @ Hampton W 64-60 54%     4 - 2 +1.3 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 29, 2014 169   @ Columbia L 43-52 34%     4 - 3 -6.4 +1.3 +1.3
  Dec 03, 2014 258   @ Brown W 66-49 53%     5 - 3 +14.6 -1.2 -1.2
  Dec 06, 2014 49   @ Illinois L 55-70 10%     5 - 4 -2.9 +6.1 +6.1
  Dec 16, 2014 100   @ La Salle W 68-66 OT 20%     6 - 4 +9.2 +3.6 +3.6
  Dec 20, 2014 231   Mount St. Mary's W 46-45 68%     7 - 4 -5.6 -3.3 -3.3
  Dec 23, 2014 145   @ Stony Brook L 47-59 28%     7 - 5 -7.7 +2.2 +2.2
  Dec 31, 2014 201   @ Bucknell L 47-57 40%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -9.1 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 03, 2015 241   Holy Cross W 53-49 71%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -3.4 -3.7 -3.7
  Jan 07, 2015 301   @ Loyola Maryland L 53-56 OT 63%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -8.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 10, 2015 183   Colgate W 71-69 2OT 59%     9 - 7 2 - 2 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1
  Jan 14, 2015 199   Lehigh W 62-59 62%     10 - 7 3 - 2 -1.8 -2.4 -2.4
  Jan 17, 2015 191   @ Lafayette W 78-76 38%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +3.3 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 21, 2015 239   @ Boston University L 54-59 49%     11 - 8 4 - 3 -6.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 26, 2015 269   Army L 66-68 74%     11 - 9 4 - 4 -10.6 -4.3 -4.3
  Jan 28, 2015 266   @ Navy L 54-64 54%     11 - 10 4 - 5 -12.7 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 02, 2015 241   @ Holy Cross W 57-50 49%     12 - 10 5 - 5 +5.4 -0.8 -0.8
  Feb 04, 2015 301   Loyola Maryland W 64-49 81%     13 - 10 6 - 5 +4.1 -5.5 -5.5
  Feb 07, 2015 183   @ Colgate L 43-59 37%     13 - 11 6 - 6 -14.4 +0.8 +0.8
  Feb 12, 2015 199   @ Lehigh L 58-65 39%     13 - 12 6 - 7 -6.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 14, 2015 191   Lafayette W 88-77 60%     14 - 12 7 - 7 +6.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 18, 2015 239   Boston University L 53-61 70%     14 - 13 7 - 8 -15.3 -3.6 -3.6
  Feb 22, 2015 269   @ Army L 63-72 54%     14 - 14 7 - 9 -11.8 -1.4 -1.4
  Feb 25, 2015 266   Navy W 68-49 74%     15 - 14 8 - 9 +10.5 -4.2 -4.2
  Feb 28, 2015 201   Bucknell L 69-71 62%     15 - 15 8 - 10 -6.9 -2.4 -2.4
  Mar 05, 2015 199   @ Lehigh W 68-62 39%     16 - 15 +7.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Mar 08, 2015 183   @ Colgate W 73-62 37%     17 - 15 +12.6 +0.8 +0.8
  Mar 11, 2015 191   @ Lafayette L 63-65 38%     17 - 16 -0.7 +0.7 +0.7
Projected Record 17.0 - 16.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%