Pre-tourney Rankings
Baylor
Big 12
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.7#14
Expected Predictive Rating+15.3#14
Pace61.0#301
Improvement+0.1#173

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#14
Improvement+1.4#105

Defense
Total Defense+7.9#14
Improvement-1.3#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 7.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 98.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round89.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen58.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight23.7% n/a n/a
Final Four9.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game3.8% n/a n/a
National Champion1.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 300   McNeese St. W 80-39 98%     1 - 0 +30.2 -5.4 -5.4
  Nov 18, 2014 57   @ South Carolina W 69-65 67%     2 - 0 +15.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Nov 21, 2014 297   Prairie View W 60-45 98%     3 - 0 +4.4 -5.3 -5.3
  Nov 24, 2014 46   Stephen F. Austin W 67-51 80%     4 - 0 +22.8 +3.4 +3.4
  Nov 27, 2014 87   Memphis W 71-47 83%     5 - 0 +29.4 +2.7 +2.7
  Nov 28, 2014 49   Illinois L 54-62 73%     5 - 1 +1.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Dec 01, 2014 219   Texas Southern W 75-49 97%     6 - 1 +20.1 -2.9 -2.9
  Dec 04, 2014 45   @ Vanderbilt W 66-63 62%     7 - 1 +15.6 +6.3 +6.3
  Dec 09, 2014 53   Texas A&M W 77-63 81%     8 - 1 +20.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Dec 17, 2014 113   New Mexico St. W 66-55 91%     9 - 1 +11.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 22, 2014 284   Southern W 70-66 98%     10 - 1 -5.5 -4.7 -4.7
  Dec 30, 2014 212   Norfolk St. W 92-51 96%     11 - 1 +35.8 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 03, 2015 12   @ Oklahoma L 63-73 36%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +9.3 +9.7 +9.7
  Jan 07, 2015 11   Kansas L 55-56 58%     11 - 3 0 - 2 +12.6 +6.8 +6.8
  Jan 10, 2015 52   @ TCU W 66-59 OT 64%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +19.1 +6.0 +6.0
  Jan 14, 2015 13   Iowa St. W 74-73 60%     13 - 3 2 - 2 +14.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Jan 17, 2015 66   @ Kansas St. L 61-63 71%     13 - 4 2 - 3 +8.1 +5.1 +5.1
  Jan 24, 2015 12   Oklahoma W 69-58 58%     14 - 4 3 - 3 +24.6 +6.8 +6.8
  Jan 27, 2015 33   @ Oklahoma St. L 53-64 58%     14 - 5 3 - 4 +2.7 +6.9 +6.9
  Jan 31, 2015 18   Texas W 83-60 69%     15 - 5 4 - 4 +33.5 +5.3 +5.3
  Feb 04, 2015 52   TCU W 77-57 81%     16 - 5 5 - 4 +26.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Feb 07, 2015 23   @ West Virginia W 87-69 50%     17 - 5 6 - 4 +33.7 +7.9 +7.9
  Feb 09, 2015 33   Oklahoma St. L 65-74 77%     17 - 6 6 - 5 -1.0 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 14, 2015 11   @ Kansas L 64-74 36%     17 - 7 6 - 6 +9.4 +9.7 +9.7
  Feb 17, 2015 124   @ Texas Tech W 54-49 83%     18 - 7 7 - 6 +10.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Feb 21, 2015 66   Kansas St. W 69-42 86%     19 - 7 8 - 6 +31.3 +2.2 +2.2
  Feb 25, 2015 13   @ Iowa St. W 79-70 38%     20 - 7 9 - 6 +28.0 +9.5 +9.5
  Feb 28, 2015 23   West Virginia W 78-66 71%     21 - 7 10 - 6 +22.0 +5.0 +5.0
  Mar 02, 2015 18   @ Texas L 59-61 OT 48%     21 - 8 10 - 7 +14.3 +8.2 +8.2
  Mar 06, 2015 124   Texas Tech W 77-74 92%     22 - 8 11 - 7 +2.9 -0.1 -0.1
  Mar 12, 2015 23   West Virginia W 80-70 61%     23 - 8 +22.9 +6.4 +6.4
  Mar 13, 2015 11   Kansas L 52-62 47%     23 - 9 +6.5 +8.3 +8.3
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.3 0.5 7.0 57.8 33.0 1.6 0.0 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.3 0.5 7.0 57.8 33.0 1.6 0.0 100.0%