Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#127
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#107
Pace63.8#248
Improvement-0.5#196

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#127
Improvement+2.5#57

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#127
Improvement-3.0#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round9.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2014 239   Boston University W 71-65 74%     1 - 0 +1.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Nov 18, 2014 82   @ Florida St. W 76-73 28%     2 - 0 +11.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Nov 22, 2014 266   Navy W 68-44 78%     3 - 0 +18.4 -2.8 -2.8
  Nov 23, 2014 152   Manhattan W 65-51 56%     4 - 0 +14.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Nov 26, 2014 121   @ Massachusetts L 54-79 37%     4 - 1 -19.3 +2.9 +2.9
  Nov 29, 2014 293   Fairfield W 57-48 87%     5 - 1 -0.9 -5.0 -5.0
  Dec 03, 2014 94   @ Harvard L 46-60 31%     5 - 2 -6.4 +3.8 +3.8
  Dec 06, 2014 140   Western Michigan W 81-69 63%     6 - 2 +10.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 17, 2014 154   Cal Poly L 58-60 57%     6 - 3 -1.4 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 20, 2014 163   @ Santa Clara W 78-72 48%     7 - 3 +8.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 22, 2014 60   @ St. Mary's L 68-72 OT 21%     7 - 4 +6.8 +5.4 +5.4
  Dec 31, 2014 62   @ Richmond W 58-57 21%     8 - 4 +11.7 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 03, 2015 256   @ Delaware W 72-53 68%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +16.6 -1.2 -1.2
  Jan 05, 2015 178   UNC Wilmington L 68-75 73%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -10.9 -2.0 -2.0
  Jan 08, 2015 209   @ James Madison W 65-59 57%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +6.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 10, 2015 262   @ Towson W 52-49 69%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +0.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 14, 2015 115   Hofstra W 91-83 57%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +8.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 17, 2015 281   College of Charleston W 69-67 86%     13 - 5 5 - 1 -7.2 -4.6 -4.6
  Jan 19, 2015 190   Detroit Mercy L 69-81 OT 74%     13 - 6 -16.4 -2.2 -2.2
  Jan 22, 2015 209   James Madison W 82-59 76%     14 - 6 6 - 1 +17.9 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 24, 2015 120   @ William & Mary L 62-78 37%     14 - 7 6 - 2 -10.3 +2.9 +2.9
  Jan 28, 2015 252   @ Drexel L 60-65 67%     14 - 8 6 - 3 -7.1 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 31, 2015 248   Elon W 80-61 83%     15 - 8 7 - 3 +11.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Feb 04, 2015 262   Towson W 69-62 84%     16 - 8 8 - 3 -1.4 -4.2 -4.2
  Feb 07, 2015 256   Delaware L 68-73 84%     16 - 9 8 - 4 -13.1 -4.1 -4.1
  Feb 12, 2015 115   @ Hofstra W 79-68 35%     17 - 9 9 - 4 +17.3 +3.2 +3.2
  Feb 14, 2015 178   @ UNC Wilmington L 61-66 52%     17 - 10 9 - 5 -3.2 +0.9 +0.9
  Feb 18, 2015 120   William & Mary W 75-64 59%     18 - 10 10 - 5 +11.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Feb 21, 2015 252   Drexel W 83-73 OT 83%     19 - 10 11 - 5 +2.1 -3.9 -3.9
  Feb 26, 2015 248   @ Elon L 65-72 67%     19 - 11 11 - 6 -9.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 28, 2015 281   @ College of Charleston W 65-56 71%     20 - 11 12 - 6 +5.5 -1.7 -1.7
  Mar 07, 2015 256   Delaware W 67-64 77%     21 - 11 -2.3 -2.6 -2.6
  Mar 08, 2015 178   UNC Wilmington W 78-71 63%     22 - 11 +6.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Mar 09, 2015 120   William & Mary W 72-61 48%     23 - 11 +13.9 +1.4 +1.4
Projected Record 23.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.8 0.0 27.7 64.9 7.4 0.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 27.7 64.9 7.4 0.0