Pre-tourney Rankings
SMU
American Athletic
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.5#29
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#25
Pace63.1#263
Improvement+0.6#151

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#29
Improvement+2.0#79

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#29
Improvement-1.3#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 5.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 61.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round59.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen20.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 277   Lamar W 93-54 96%     1 - 0 +30.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Nov 17, 2014 7   @ Gonzaga L 56-72 16%     1 - 1 +6.0 +11.0 +11.0
  Nov 20, 2014 43   @ Indiana L 68-74 45%     1 - 2 +6.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Nov 22, 2014 143   Eastern Washington W 77-68 88%     2 - 2 +7.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Nov 25, 2014 26   Arkansas L 72-78 59%     2 - 3 +3.3 +4.6 +4.6
  Nov 26, 2014 219   Texas Southern W 72-59 94%     3 - 3 +7.1 -2.9 -2.9
  Nov 30, 2014 185   Monmouth W 63-51 92%     4 - 3 +7.8 -2.1 -2.1
  Dec 05, 2014 112   Wyoming W 66-53 84%     5 - 3 +13.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Dec 08, 2014 109   UC Santa Barbara W 80-73 OT 84%     6 - 3 +7.9 +0.4 +0.4
  Dec 17, 2014 279   Illinois-Chicago W 67-46 96%     7 - 3 +11.9 -4.6 -4.6
  Dec 20, 2014 64   @ Michigan W 62-51 55%     8 - 3 +21.3 +5.2 +5.2
  Dec 31, 2014 255   South Florida W 83-49 95%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +26.0 -4.0 -4.0
  Jan 03, 2015 55   @ Cincinnati L 50-56 49%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +5.7 +5.9 +5.9
  Jan 08, 2015 87   Memphis W 73-59 80%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +16.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Jan 11, 2015 267   @ Central Florida W 70-61 90%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +6.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Jan 14, 2015 68   @ Temple W 60-55 56%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +14.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 17, 2015 206   East Carolina W 77-54 93%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +17.9 -2.5 -2.5
  Jan 21, 2015 213   @ Tulane W 66-52 85%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +14.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 24, 2015 197   Houston W 80-59 93%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +16.3 -2.3 -2.3
  Jan 28, 2015 255   @ South Florida W 63-52 90%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +8.7 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 31, 2015 267   Central Florida W 75-56 96%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +10.5 -4.2 -4.2
  Feb 05, 2015 55   Cincinnati L 54-62 70%     17 - 5 9 - 2 -2.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Feb 07, 2015 74   @ Tulsa W 68-57 58%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +20.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 12, 2015 197   @ Houston W 75-69 84%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +7.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 14, 2015 67   Connecticut W 73-55 76%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +22.2 +2.1 +2.1
  Feb 19, 2015 68   Temple W 67-58 76%     21 - 5 13 - 2 +13.2 +2.1 +2.1
  Feb 26, 2015 87   @ Memphis W 66-57 62%     22 - 5 14 - 2 +17.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Mar 01, 2015 67   @ Connecticut L 73-81 56%     22 - 6 14 - 3 +2.0 +5.0 +5.0
  Mar 08, 2015 74   Tulsa W 67-62 78%     23 - 6 15 - 3 +8.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Mar 13, 2015 206   East Carolina W 74-68 89%     24 - 6 +3.8 -1.1 -1.1
  Mar 14, 2015 68   Temple W 69-56 67%     25 - 6 +20.1 +3.5 +3.5
  Mar 15, 2015 67   Connecticut W 62-54 67%     26 - 6 +15.1 +3.6 +3.6
Projected Record 26.0 - 6.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.2 0.2 5.4 19.5 35.9 28.9 8.7 1.3 0.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.2 0.2 5.4 19.5 35.9 28.9 8.7 1.3 0.0