Cal Poly
Big West
2014-15 - 2015-16 - 2016-17
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#207
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#240
Pace66.9#256
Improvement-5.9#340

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#134
First Shot-0.4#184
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#49
Layup/Dunks-2.0#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#91
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#151
Freethrows-0.4#211
Improvement-3.6#322

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#286
First Shot-4.5#304
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#147
Layups/Dunks+1.4#126
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#266
Freethrows-1.3#260
Improvement-2.4#290


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 113   @ UNLV L 72-74 19%     0 - 1 +4.7 +1.0 +3.7
  Nov 15, 2015 67   @ UCLA L 83-88 10%     0 - 2 +6.0 +6.9 -0.5
  Nov 21, 2015 225   Austin Peay W 73-64 54%     1 - 2 +5.1 -4.6 +9.6
  Nov 22, 2015 328   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-65 81%     2 - 2 +0.8 +1.1 +0.6
  Dec 03, 2015 138   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-75 43%     2 - 3 -3.0 -1.0 -2.1
  Dec 05, 2015 101   Fresno St. W 77-65 31%     3 - 3 +14.3 +11.2 +3.9
  Dec 14, 2015 47   @ St. Mary's L 63-93 7%     3 - 4 -16.6 +1.4 -21.5
  Dec 17, 2015 49   @ USC L 82-101 8%     3 - 5 -5.7 +3.5 -6.7
  Dec 20, 2015 184   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-80 34%     3 - 6 -4.4 -2.0 -2.0
  Dec 22, 2015 338   @ Texas San Antonio W 88-73 77%     4 - 6 +4.3 +0.1 +2.9
  Dec 29, 2015 18   @ Texas A&M L 63-82 4%     4 - 7 -0.8 +2.9 -4.5
  Jan 06, 2016 64   @ Hawaii L 73-86 10%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -1.5 +6.1 -7.4
  Jan 14, 2016 108   UC Santa Barbara L 73-76 34%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -1.6 -0.4 -1.1
  Jan 16, 2016 105   Long Beach St. W 96-92 2OT 34%     5 - 9 1 - 2 +5.5 +4.8 -0.1
  Jan 21, 2016 242   @ Cal St. Northridge L 74-76 46%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -3.7 -1.8 -1.9
  Jan 23, 2016 268   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 83-75 53%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +4.5 +8.8 -4.2
  Jan 28, 2016 234   UC Riverside L 68-72 67%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -11.3 -2.7 -8.8
  Jan 30, 2016 237   @ UC Davis L 52-66 46%     6 - 12 2 - 5 -15.6 -6.6 -11.5
  Feb 03, 2016 92   UC Irvine L 72-78 OT 29%     6 - 13 2 - 6 -3.0 -4.6 +2.2
  Feb 06, 2016 64   Hawaii L 60-75 21%     6 - 14 2 - 7 -9.4 -5.0 -5.2
  Feb 11, 2016 105   @ Long Beach St. L 70-73 17%     6 - 15 2 - 8 +4.4 -2.1 +6.6
  Feb 13, 2016 234   @ UC Riverside W 86-78 45%     7 - 15 3 - 8 +6.6 +11.7 -5.3
  Feb 18, 2016 237   UC Davis W 58-53 68%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -2.5 -4.9 +3.1
  Feb 20, 2016 242   Cal St. Northridge L 71-75 OT 68%     8 - 16 4 - 9 -11.6 -7.9 -3.5
  Feb 25, 2016 268   Cal St. Fullerton L 77-78 74%     8 - 17 4 - 10 -10.4 +5.5 -15.9
  Mar 03, 2016 92   @ UC Irvine L 62-72 14%     8 - 18 4 - 11 -1.2 +0.4 -2.2
  Mar 05, 2016 108   @ UC Santa Barbara L 50-69 17%     8 - 19 4 - 12 -11.7 -13.5 +0.2
  Mar 10, 2016 92   UC Irvine L 64-84 21%     8 - 20 -14.1 +2.6 -18.6
Projected Record 8 - 20 4 - 12