Pre-tourney Rankings
Hawaii
Big West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#68
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#56
Pace74.3#81
Improvement-1.4#245

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#103
First Shot+2.5#102
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#157
Layup/Dunks+0.9#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#195
Freethrows+2.2#44
Improvement-1.9#273

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#44
First Shot+4.0#59
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#48
Layups/Dunks+3.1#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#57
Freethrows-1.5#273
Improvement+0.5#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round24.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 252   Montana St. W 87-76 93%     1 - 0 +2.6 +3.2 -1.0
  Nov 15, 2015 166   Coastal Carolina W 74-63 86%     2 - 0 +7.7 -5.5 +12.3
  Nov 17, 2015 141   Nevada W 76-75 81%     3 - 0 -0.2 -1.4 +1.2
  Nov 22, 2015 333   Nicholls St. W 99-74 98%     4 - 0 +9.2 +22.9 -13.4
  Nov 28, 2015 40   @ Texas Tech L 74-82 29%     4 - 1 +5.8 -1.8 +8.6
  Dec 02, 2015 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-47 98%     5 - 1 +10.2 -5.0 +14.3
  Dec 22, 2015 80   Northern Iowa W 68-52 65%     6 - 1 +20.1 +3.8 +17.6
  Dec 23, 2015 8   Oklahoma L 81-84 26%     6 - 2 +11.8 +8.3 +3.7
  Dec 25, 2015 180   Auburn W 79-67 87%     7 - 2 +8.1 +5.2 +2.9
  Dec 29, 2015 341   Mississippi Valley W 77-48 98%     8 - 2 +11.7 -1.3 +13.2
  Jan 02, 2016 332   Howard W 94-59 98%     9 - 2 +19.4 +0.5 +13.1
  Jan 06, 2016 204   Cal Poly W 86-73 90%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +7.3 +5.9 +1.1
  Jan 09, 2016 104   UC Santa Barbara W 65-57 72%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +10.0 -8.6 +18.3
  Jan 14, 2016 234   @ UC Riverside W 80-71 82%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +7.6 +6.6 +0.8
  Jan 16, 2016 268   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 86-79 OT 86%     13 - 2 4 - 0 +3.4 +1.9 +0.8
  Jan 23, 2016 235   UC Davis W 78-62 92%     14 - 2 5 - 0 +8.6 +17.9 -7.1
  Jan 30, 2016 108   Long Beach St. L 64-78 74%     14 - 3 5 - 1 -12.6 -10.8 -1.2
  Feb 04, 2016 104   @ UC Santa Barbara W 76-64 51%     15 - 3 6 - 1 +19.9 +3.7 +15.4
  Feb 06, 2016 204   @ Cal Poly W 75-60 78%     16 - 3 7 - 1 +15.1 +3.7 +12.2
  Feb 11, 2016 98   UC Irvine W 74-52 70%     17 - 3 8 - 1 +24.7 +6.5 +18.9
  Feb 13, 2016 268   Cal St. Fullerton W 76-59 94%     18 - 3 9 - 1 +7.6 -6.3 +13.0
  Feb 18, 2016 238   @ Cal St. Northridge W 69-63 82%     19 - 3 10 - 1 +4.3 -3.6 +7.9
  Feb 20, 2016 98   @ UC Irvine W 75-71 49%     20 - 3 11 - 1 +12.5 +9.9 +2.7
  Feb 25, 2016 234   UC Riverside L 71-77 92%     20 - 4 11 - 2 -13.3 -4.3 -9.0
  Feb 27, 2016 238   Cal St. Northridge W 89-78 92%     21 - 4 12 - 2 +3.5 -2.1 +3.6
  Mar 03, 2016 235   @ UC Davis W 67-65 82%     22 - 4 13 - 2 +0.4 +0.8 -0.3
  Mar 05, 2016 108   @ Long Beach St. L 72-74 54%     22 - 5 13 - 3 +5.2 -2.6 +7.9
  Mar 10, 2016 268   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-44 91%     23 - 5 +24.5 +0.8 +24.8
  Mar 11, 2016 104   UC Santa Barbara W 88-76 62%     24 - 5 +16.9 +12.9 +3.2
  Mar 12, 2016 108   Long Beach St. W 64-60 65%     25 - 5 +8.3 -6.0 +14.3
Projected Record 25.0 - 5.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.6 0.0 5.1 39.9 48.9 6.1
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 5.1 39.9 48.9 6.1