Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.0#11
Expected Predictive Rating+16.2#12
Pace65.7#285
Improvement-7.0#345

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#42
First Shot+2.8#97
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#13
Layup/Dunks+2.3#79
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#235
Freethrows+0.2#161
Improvement-5.5#345

Defense
Total Defense+10.8#1
First Shot+8.2#6
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#6
Layups/Dunks+3.3#48
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#40
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#70
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement-1.5#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 224   Samford W 86-45 98%     1 - 0 +34.4 +3.2 +28.1
  Nov 17, 2015 320   Hartford W 87-52 99%     2 - 0 +21.0 +9.4 +13.4
  Nov 21, 2015 178   North Florida W 89-61 96%     3 - 0 +24.2 +7.9 +16.3
  Nov 24, 2015 274   St. Francis Brooklyn W 85-41 99%     4 - 0 +33.8 +20.4 +18.2
  Nov 28, 2015 211   Saint Louis W 77-57 96%     5 - 0 +16.8 +19.8 +0.5
  Dec 02, 2015 2   @ Michigan St. L 67-71 27%     5 - 1 +19.2 +6.4 +12.6
  Dec 05, 2015 134   Grand Canyon W 111-63 94%     6 - 1 +47.2 +29.3 +14.0
  Dec 12, 2015 159   Eastern Michigan W 86-53 95%     7 - 1 +30.4 +6.4 +22.3
  Dec 16, 2015 258   Kennesaw St. W 94-57 98%     8 - 1 +28.0 +14.2 +13.0
  Dec 19, 2015 181   Western Kentucky W 78-56 96%     9 - 1 +18.1 +1.4 +17.0
  Dec 22, 2015 253   UMKC W 75-47 98%     10 - 1 +19.6 +4.8 +17.7
  Dec 23, 2015 282   Utah Valley W 98-68 99%     11 - 1 +19.2 +11.1 +5.7
  Dec 26, 2015 7   @ Kentucky L 73-75 35%     11 - 2 +19.1 +8.6 +10.4
  Jan 03, 2016 111   Wake Forest W 65-57 92%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +9.0 -2.0 +11.6
  Jan 07, 2016 74   @ North Carolina St. W 77-72 73%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +15.6 +11.4 +4.5
  Jan 10, 2016 48   @ Clemson L 62-66 63%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +9.4 -5.5 +14.9
  Jan 14, 2016 34   Pittsburgh W 59-41 78%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +27.0 -7.8 +35.8
  Jan 20, 2016 46   Florida St. W 84-65 81%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +26.6 +10.4 +15.5
  Jan 23, 2016 55   @ Georgia Tech W 75-71 66%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +16.7 +11.2 +5.7
  Jan 27, 2016 61   @ Virginia Tech W 91-83 69%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +19.8 +18.2 +1.1
  Jan 30, 2016 4   Virginia L 47-63 51%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +0.8 -11.6 +10.1
  Feb 01, 2016 3   North Carolina W 71-65 49%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +23.3 +4.8 +18.4
  Feb 06, 2016 206   Boston College W 79-47 97%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +26.2 +13.7 +14.9
  Feb 08, 2016 17   @ Duke L 65-72 44%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +11.6 +0.5 +10.8
  Feb 13, 2016 36   @ Notre Dame L 66-71 59%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +9.6 +2.0 +7.1
  Feb 17, 2016 38   Syracuse W 72-58 79%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +22.6 +10.6 +13.1
  Feb 20, 2016 17   Duke W 71-64 66%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +19.7 +5.5 +14.8
  Feb 24, 2016 34   @ Pittsburgh W 67-60 58%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +21.8 +5.1 +17.3
  Feb 27, 2016 14   @ Miami (FL) L 65-73 42%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +11.0 +12.4 -2.9
  Mar 01, 2016 55   Georgia Tech W 56-53 83%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +9.8 -8.5 +18.6
  Mar 05, 2016 4   @ Virginia L 46-68 29%     23 - 8 12 - 6 +0.6 -8.3 +5.0
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%