Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#127
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#127
Pace64.1#312
Improvement-1.2#235

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#117
First Shot+4.5#57
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#318
Layup/Dunks+0.5#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#15
Freethrows+1.0#108
Improvement-1.8#265

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#171
First Shot-0.5#185
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#104
Layups/Dunks-6.7#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#119
Freethrows+4.5#7
Improvement+0.6#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 247   @ Boston University W 87-84 OT 67%     1 - 0 +1.0 +6.9 -6.0
  Nov 21, 2015 279   Lipscomb W 79-67 83%     2 - 0 +4.4 -1.1 +5.2
  Nov 22, 2015 244   @ Miami (OH) L 61-67 67%     2 - 1 -7.9 -7.4 -0.8
  Nov 27, 2015 14   @ Miami (FL) W 78-77 7%     3 - 1 +20.0 +13.7 +6.4
  Dec 02, 2015 172   Harvard W 80-71 72%     4 - 1 +5.4 +7.5 -2.2
  Dec 05, 2015 179   @ Detroit Mercy L 73-76 52%     4 - 2 -1.0 -2.3 +1.2
  Dec 07, 2015 184   @ Western Michigan L 86-87 OT 54%     4 - 3 +0.6 +2.6 -1.9
  Dec 12, 2015 100   Stony Brook W 75-62 50%     5 - 3 +15.5 +3.2 +12.0
  Dec 19, 2015 2   Michigan St. L 58-78 9%     5 - 4 -2.6 -7.9 +5.1
  Dec 22, 2015 152   Vermont W 77-65 67%     6 - 4 +9.9 +3.1 +7.0
  Dec 29, 2015 74   @ North Carolina St. L 66-72 22%     6 - 5 +4.6 -0.3 +4.5
  Dec 31, 2015 156   @ Elon W 86-79 47%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +10.4 +6.8 +3.0
  Jan 02, 2016 87   @ UNC Wilmington W 65-63 25%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +11.5 +5.6 +6.1
  Jan 07, 2016 270   Delaware W 88-56 87%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +22.3 +11.3 +11.8
  Jan 09, 2016 92   @ William & Mary L 60-78 27%     9 - 6 3 - 1 -9.2 -10.4 +0.9
  Jan 14, 2016 97   James Madison L 63-75 49%     9 - 7 3 - 2 -9.2 +1.1 -12.0
  Jan 16, 2016 270   @ Delaware W 69-60 73%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +5.2 -1.8 +7.6
  Jan 21, 2016 96   Hofstra L 92-96 3OT 49%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -1.2 +1.9 -2.3
  Jan 23, 2016 140   Towson L 72-79 64%     10 - 9 4 - 4 -8.1 -3.0 -5.1
  Jan 28, 2016 124   @ College of Charleston L 61-68 OT 38%     10 - 10 4 - 5 -1.3 -3.1 +1.9
  Jan 30, 2016 156   Elon L 67-71 68%     10 - 11 4 - 6 -6.5 -8.7 +2.3
  Feb 04, 2016 92   William & Mary L 77-86 48%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -6.0 -0.8 -4.8
  Feb 06, 2016 87   UNC Wilmington L 73-90 46%     10 - 13 4 - 8 -13.4 -1.2 -11.6
  Feb 11, 2016 140   @ Towson W 47-44 42%     11 - 13 5 - 8 +7.7 -12.9 +21.3
  Feb 13, 2016 230   Drexel W 70-60 81%     12 - 13 6 - 8 +3.0 +14.6 -8.8
  Feb 18, 2016 97   @ James Madison W 95-94 3OT 28%     13 - 13 7 - 8 +9.6 +8.8 +0.6
  Feb 21, 2016 96   @ Hofstra L 60-65 28%     13 - 14 7 - 9 +3.7 -8.9 +12.5
  Feb 25, 2016 124   College of Charleston W 58-57 60%     14 - 14 8 - 9 +0.9 -2.1 +3.1
  Feb 27, 2016 230   @ Drexel W 61-59 64%     15 - 14 9 - 9 +0.9 -0.5 +1.7
  Mar 05, 2016 140   Towson W 71-60 53%     16 - 14 +12.8 +13.0 +2.1
  Mar 06, 2016 87   UNC Wilmington L 70-73 35%     16 - 15 +3.5 +6.2 -2.9
Projected Record 16.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%