Pre-tourney Rankings
UNLV
Mountain West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#115
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#126
Pace80.6#14
Improvement-7.7#350

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#194
First Shot+0.0#173
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#242
Layup/Dunks+3.0#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#308
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#208
Freethrows+0.9#117
Improvement-0.1#180

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#66
First Shot+4.7#47
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#220
Layups/Dunks-0.2#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#34
Freethrows-0.2#181
Improvement-7.6#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 204   Cal Poly W 74-72 81%     1 - 0 -3.7 -8.7 +4.8
  Nov 18, 2015 342   Southern Utah W 84-64 96%     2 - 0 +2.7 -0.4 +3.0
  Nov 23, 2015 63   UCLA L 75-77 31%     2 - 1 +6.5 -1.5 +8.2
  Nov 25, 2015 13   Indiana W 72-69 12%     3 - 1 +19.1 -0.3 +19.3
  Nov 28, 2015 335   Prairie View W 80-62 96%     4 - 1 +1.7 -5.6 +5.4
  Dec 04, 2015 10   Oregon W 80-69 11%     5 - 1 +28.0 +8.5 +18.8
  Dec 09, 2015 24   @ Wichita St. L 50-56 10%     5 - 2 +11.5 -5.9 +16.8
  Dec 12, 2015 234   @ UC Riverside W 73-62 68%     6 - 2 +9.6 -8.2 +16.4
  Dec 16, 2015 86   Arizona St. L 56-66 49%     6 - 3 -6.4 -14.2 +7.6
  Dec 19, 2015 12   @ Arizona L 70-82 8%     6 - 4 +7.3 -0.8 +9.1
  Dec 22, 2015 226   South Dakota W 103-68 83%     7 - 4 +28.3 +15.3 +9.9
  Dec 30, 2015 102   Fresno St. L 66-69 55%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -0.8 -7.9 +7.2
  Jan 06, 2016 142   @ Colorado St. L 65-66 46%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +3.3 -9.7 +13.0
  Jan 09, 2016 164   @ Wyoming L 57-59 53%     7 - 7 0 - 3 +0.6 -15.4 +15.9
  Jan 12, 2016 116   New Mexico W 86-74 62%     8 - 7 1 - 3 +12.3 +3.6 +7.5
  Jan 16, 2016 237   Air Force W 100-64 85%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +28.5 +24.8 +3.6
  Jan 19, 2016 133   @ Utah St. W 80-68 43%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +17.2 -0.5 +16.7
  Jan 23, 2016 141   @ Nevada L 63-65 45%     10 - 8 3 - 4 +2.7 -5.7 +8.5
  Jan 27, 2016 94   Boise St. W 87-77 52%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +12.9 +2.4 +9.1
  Jan 30, 2016 53   San Diego St. L 52-67 37%     11 - 9 4 - 5 -8.2 -7.5 -2.1
  Feb 02, 2016 116   @ New Mexico L 83-87 39%     11 - 10 4 - 6 +2.1 -0.6 +3.4
  Feb 06, 2016 102   @ Fresno St. L 104-111 2OT 33%     11 - 11 4 - 7 +1.0 +6.9 -4.0
  Feb 10, 2016 248   San Jose St. W 64-61 85%     12 - 11 5 - 7 -5.0 -14.5 +9.3
  Feb 13, 2016 142   Colorado St. W 87-80 68%     13 - 11 6 - 7 +5.5 -3.6 +8.0
  Feb 16, 2016 237   @ Air Force L 74-79 69%     13 - 12 6 - 8 -6.7 -2.8 -3.6
  Feb 20, 2016 141   Nevada W 102-91 OT 67%     14 - 12 7 - 8 +9.8 +4.1 +2.6
  Feb 23, 2016 94   @ Boise St. L 69-81 30%     14 - 13 7 - 9 -3.2 -3.2 +0.7
  Feb 27, 2016 164   Wyoming W 79-74 74%     15 - 13 8 - 9 +1.8 +0.0 +1.7
  Mar 05, 2016 53   @ San Diego St. L 56-92 19%     15 - 14 8 - 10 -23.3 -11.0 -8.8
  Mar 09, 2016 237   Air Force W 108-102 3OT 85%     16 - 14 -1.5 +0.6 -4.0
  Mar 10, 2016 102   Fresno St. L 82-95 55%     16 - 15 -10.8 +1.5 -10.9
Projected Record 16.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%