Pre-tourney Rankings
VMI
Southern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#304
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#299
Pace70.2#169
Improvement+2.0#95

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#299
First Shot-4.8#301
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#196
Layup/Dunks-4.9#336
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#44
Freethrows-4.4#346
Improvement+2.1#84

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#286
First Shot-3.2#268
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#285
Layups/Dunks+0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#260
Freethrows-1.5#274
Improvement-0.1#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 120   @ Penn St. L 50-62 8%     0 - 1 -6.1 -9.7 +1.7
  Nov 21, 2015 61   @ Virginia Tech L 52-76 4%     0 - 2 -12.2 -15.4 +3.3
  Nov 24, 2015 318   Presbyterian W 76-61 66%     1 - 2 +1.3 -6.6 +6.9
  Nov 30, 2015 296   @ Campbell L 65-66 37%     1 - 3 -7.0 -8.4 +1.3
  Dec 05, 2015 69   @ Ohio St. L 62-89 4%     1 - 4 -16.0 -5.0 -10.3
  Dec 07, 2015 31   @ Butler L 66-93 2%     1 - 5 -11.7 -6.3 -3.6
  Dec 12, 2015 212   Navy L 62-68 38%     1 - 6 -12.2 -5.9 -6.9
  Dec 21, 2015 233   @ Gardner-Webb W 76-75 22%     2 - 6 -0.4 -3.4 +2.9
  Jan 02, 2016 168   @ Furman L 57-85 14%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -25.6 -13.6 -12.8
  Jan 05, 2016 187   Wofford L 61-65 32%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -8.4 -12.3 +3.6
  Jan 09, 2016 194   @ Western Carolina L 52-73 17%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -20.1 -17.5 -3.4
  Jan 11, 2016 155   @ East Tennessee St. L 51-88 12%     2 - 10 0 - 4 -33.4 -19.7 -15.4
  Jan 17, 2016 210   @ UNC Greensboro L 68-85 19%     2 - 11 0 - 5 -17.2 -4.0 -13.7
  Jan 21, 2016 224   Samford W 83-76 40%     3 - 11 1 - 5 +0.4 +5.6 -5.3
  Jan 25, 2016 168   Furman L 56-68 28%     3 - 12 1 - 6 -15.4 -12.4 -4.5
  Jan 28, 2016 190   @ Mercer L 58-73 16%     3 - 13 1 - 7 -13.9 -10.8 -4.4
  Jan 30, 2016 323   @ The Citadel L 75-78 47%     3 - 14 1 - 8 -11.5 -15.7 +4.6
  Feb 04, 2016 155   East Tennessee St. L 60-71 25%     3 - 15 1 - 9 -13.2 -15.6 +2.3
  Feb 06, 2016 194   Western Carolina L 60-69 34%     3 - 16 1 - 10 -14.0 -9.5 -5.2
  Feb 08, 2016 187   @ Wofford L 60-92 16%     3 - 17 1 - 11 -30.6 -12.2 -19.5
  Feb 11, 2016 210   UNC Greensboro W 86-72 37%     4 - 17 2 - 11 +7.9 +6.9 +0.7
  Feb 18, 2016 106   @ Chattanooga L 59-85 7%     4 - 18 2 - 12 -18.5 -9.1 -9.4
  Feb 20, 2016 224   @ Samford L 67-73 21%     4 - 19 2 - 13 -6.8 -10.7 +4.2
  Feb 25, 2016 190   Mercer W 91-82 33%     5 - 19 3 - 13 +4.3 +12.2 -8.1
  Feb 27, 2016 323   The Citadel W 111-95 69%     6 - 19 4 - 13 +1.7 +11.1 -11.9
  Feb 29, 2016 106   Chattanooga L 65-67 15%     6 - 20 4 - 14 -0.3 -9.2 +9.0
  Mar 04, 2016 224   Samford L 85-92 OT 29%     6 - 21 -10.7 -4.5 -5.1
Projected Record 6.0 - 21.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%