Pre-tourney Rankings
Winthrop
Big South
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#154
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#141
Pace80.2#17
Improvement+4.3#26

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#104
First Shot+4.7#54
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#308
Layup/Dunks-1.6#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#55
Freethrows+1.9#51
Improvement+0.8#149

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#220
First Shot-0.8#198
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#275
Layups/Dunks+0.5#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#78
Freethrows-0.2#180
Improvement+3.5#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 249   Hampton W 102-95 80%     1 - 0 -1.2 +5.4 -8.0
  Nov 20, 2015 293   Jacksonville St. W 80-69 87%     2 - 0 -0.7 -2.3 +1.1
  Nov 24, 2015 321   @ South Carolina Upstate W 79-78 80%     3 - 0 -7.3 -4.1 -3.3
  Nov 27, 2015 74   @ North Carolina St. L 79-87 18%     3 - 1 +2.6 +3.3 -0.2
  Dec 02, 2015 299   @ Charleston Southern W 83-82 74%     4 - 1 1 - 0 -5.1 +0.8 -6.0
  Dec 05, 2015 318   Presbyterian W 74-70 91%     5 - 1 2 - 0 -9.7 -5.8 -4.0
  Dec 08, 2015 62   @ Georgia L 64-74 16%     5 - 2 +1.6 -3.2 +5.2
  Dec 16, 2015 81   @ Alabama L 60-72 19%     5 - 3 -2.1 -2.3 -0.6
  Dec 19, 2015 216   @ Georgia Southern W 88-81 55%     6 - 3 +6.5 +5.4 +0.4
  Dec 22, 2015 295   Alabama St. W 92-84 88%     7 - 3 -3.8 -1.3 -3.7
  Dec 31, 2015 296   Campbell L 83-90 88%     7 - 4 2 - 1 -18.8 -6.8 -11.2
  Jan 02, 2016 166   @ Coastal Carolina L 63-82 43%     7 - 5 2 - 2 -16.5 -12.4 -2.8
  Jan 06, 2016 125   @ UNC Asheville L 84-85 32%     7 - 6 2 - 3 +4.6 +9.1 -4.4
  Jan 14, 2016 149   High Point W 86-66 60%     8 - 6 3 - 3 +18.1 +8.7 +9.3
  Jan 16, 2016 280   Liberty W 74-58 85%     9 - 6 4 - 3 +5.5 +0.4 +6.1
  Jan 20, 2016 233   @ Gardner-Webb W 71-58 58%     10 - 6 5 - 3 +11.6 -1.8 +13.4
  Jan 24, 2016 291   @ Longwood W 82-68 73%     11 - 6 6 - 3 +8.3 +7.2 +1.5
  Jan 27, 2016 299   Charleston Southern W 97-72 88%     12 - 6 7 - 3 +13.1 +11.7 -0.2
  Jan 30, 2016 227   Radford W 87-77 76%     13 - 6 8 - 3 +3.2 +6.4 -3.6
  Feb 02, 2016 280   @ Liberty L 77-88 70%     13 - 7 8 - 4 -15.7 -3.1 -11.9
  Feb 11, 2016 291   Longwood W 88-80 87%     14 - 7 9 - 4 -3.5 +1.8 -5.9
  Feb 13, 2016 227   @ Radford W 86-84 57%     15 - 7 10 - 4 +1.0 +2.2 -1.4
  Feb 18, 2016 166   Coastal Carolina W 79-67 65%     16 - 7 11 - 4 +8.7 -3.6 +11.0
  Feb 20, 2016 125   UNC Asheville W 81-80 54%     17 - 7 12 - 4 +0.8 +5.4 -4.7
  Feb 25, 2016 149   @ High Point L 85-87 38%     17 - 8 12 - 5 +1.9 +6.5 -4.6
  Feb 27, 2016 296   @ Campbell W 87-71 74%     18 - 8 13 - 5 +10.0 +8.1 +1.6
  Mar 04, 2016 318   Presbyterian W 67-53 86%     19 - 8 +3.2 -7.0 +10.7
  Mar 05, 2016 233   Gardner-Webb W 82-69 69%     20 - 8 +8.7 +4.6 +3.6
  Mar 06, 2016 125   UNC Asheville L 68-77 43%     20 - 9 -6.3 -4.3 -1.4
Projected Record 20.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%