Pre-tourney Rankings
Ivy League
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
76 Princeton 100.0%   13   22 - 6 14 - 0 22 - 6 14 - 0 +6.9      +2.1 113 +4.9 57 58.9 338 +8.1 68 +15.8 1
112 Harvard 0.0%   16 - 10 10 - 4 16 - 10 10 - 4 +3.1      +1.4 131 +1.7 118 64.8 253 +1.7 136 +3.0 2
157 Yale 0.0%   17 - 11 9 - 5 17 - 11 9 - 5 +0.5      +0.1 161 +0.4 165 69.1 134 +2.1 128 +1.3 3
177 Penn 0.0%   13 - 15 6 - 8 13 - 15 6 - 8 -0.6      -2.3 226 +1.7 116 66.1 222 -2.3 204 -4.5 4
232 Columbia 0.0%   10 - 16 5 - 9 10 - 16 5 - 9 -4.6      -3.0 247 -1.6 215 70.0 113 -5.7 247 -5.8 5
268 Cornell 0.0%   7 - 21 4 - 10 7 - 21 4 - 10 -6.5      -3.9 270 -2.6 246 72.0 76 -8.2 290 -7.6 8
278 Brown 0.0%   11 - 17 4 - 10 11 - 17 4 - 10 -7.1      -0.6 187 -6.5 323 74.6 40 -7.3 276 -7.5 7
302 Dartmouth 0.0%   7 - 20 4 - 10 7 - 20 4 - 10 -9.0      -3.6 264 -5.4 307 66.3 219 -9.7 307 -7.1 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Princeton 1.0 100.0
Harvard 2.0 100.0
Yale 3.0 100.0
Penn 4.0 100.0
Columbia 5.0 100.0
Cornell 6.0 100.0
Brown 6.0 100.0
Dartmouth 6.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Princeton 14 - 0 100.0
Harvard 10 - 4 100.0
Yale 9 - 5 100.0
Penn 6 - 8 100.0
Columbia 5 - 9 100.0
Cornell 4 - 10 100.0
Brown 4 - 10 100.0
Dartmouth 4 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Princeton 100.0% 100.0
Harvard
Yale
Penn
Columbia
Cornell
Brown
Dartmouth


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Princeton 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.2 25.9 65.8 8.1
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Princeton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 15.2% 3.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 15.2% 0.2 84.8 15.2
Sweet Sixteen 3.1% 0.0 96.9 3.1
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0