Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeast
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
216 Mount St. Mary's 100.0%   16   19 - 15 14 - 4 19 - 15 14 - 4 -3.5      -3.7 266 +0.2 170 65.5 234 -2.4 205 -1.2 1
261 LIU Brooklyn 0.0%   19 - 12 13 - 5 19 - 12 13 - 5 -5.8      -3.3 254 -2.5 245 65.3 240 -3.9 228 -2.6 2
262 Wagner 0.0%   15 - 14 11 - 7 15 - 14 11 - 7 -5.8      -3.4 259 -2.5 243 59.0 337 -6.1 251 -5.7 4
263 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 7 15 - 16 11 - 7 -5.9      -3.1 248 -2.9 251 74.2 46 -6.7 264 -5.6 3
275 Robert Morris 0.0%   14 - 19 9 - 9 14 - 19 9 - 9 -6.9      -8.5 335 +1.7 120 67.2 198 -6.3 255 -8.3 7
277 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0%   10 - 19 9 - 9 10 - 19 9 - 9 -7.1      -1.7 216 -5.3 305 70.1 110 -8.6 297 -8.3 6
285 Bryant 0.0%   11 - 20 9 - 9 11 - 20 9 - 9 -7.7      -2.6 237 -5.1 303 70.3 107 -8.9 300 -8.2 5
299 Sacred Heart 0.0%   13 - 19 8 - 10 13 - 19 8 - 10 -8.8      -5.5 305 -3.3 262 74.7 39 -8.7 299 -9.5 8
338 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   6 - 23 4 - 14 6 - 23 4 - 14 -14.8      -8.2 333 -6.6 324 62.1 307 -14.7 337 -15.1 9
346 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0%   3 - 27 2 - 16 3 - 27 2 - 16 -17.2      -11.7 349 -5.6 310 65.2 244 -19.2 348 -19.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Mount St. Mary's 1.0 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 2.0 100.0
Wagner 3.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 3.0 100.0
Robert Morris 5.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.0 100.0
Bryant 5.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 8.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 9.0 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Mount St. Mary's 14 - 4 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 13 - 5 100.0
Wagner 11 - 7 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 11 - 7 100.0
Robert Morris 9 - 9 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 9 - 9 100.0
Bryant 9 - 9 100.0
Sacred Heart 8 - 10 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 4 - 14 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Mount St. Mary's 100.0% 100.0
LIU Brooklyn
Wagner
St. Francis (PA)
Robert Morris
Fairleigh Dickinson
Bryant
Sacred Heart
Central Connecticut St.
St. Francis Brooklyn


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Mount St. Mary's 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   6.7 93.3
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Mount St. Mary's 100.0% 73.0% 57.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 57.2% 0.6 42.8 57.2
2nd Round 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0