Pre-tourney Rankings
Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#290
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#289
Pace67.4#193
Improvement+4.4#30

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#328
First Shot-8.3#335
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#81
Layup/Dunks-3.5#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#248
Freethrows-3.1#332
Improvement+3.3#32

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#201
First Shot-0.9#191
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#218
Layups/Dunks-3.0#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#67
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#107
Freethrows-1.0#236
Improvement+1.1#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 102   @ Loyola Chicago L 44-69 9%     0 - 1 -18.3 -17.8 -5.0
  Nov 14, 2016 154   @ Evansville L 59-82 15%     0 - 2 -19.9 -7.9 -13.5
  Nov 27, 2016 82   @ Colorado St. L 58-80 7%     0 - 3 -13.4 -4.6 -11.1
  Nov 30, 2016 104   @ San Francisco L 65-78 9%     0 - 4 -6.5 -4.1 -1.9
  Dec 03, 2016 57   @ California L 59-83 4%     0 - 5 -12.0 -3.8 -8.2
  Dec 05, 2016 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 65-98 9%     0 - 6 -26.2 -10.7 -12.3
  Dec 18, 2016 77   @ Georgia Tech L 50-74 6%     0 - 7 -14.7 -10.2 -5.1
  Dec 20, 2016 161   @ Grand Canyon L 53-63 15%     0 - 8 -7.3 -15.6 +8.3
  Jan 02, 2017 220   Texas Southern L 65-67 43%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -8.3 -6.8 -1.6
  Jan 04, 2017 321   Prairie View W 66-55 69%     1 - 9 1 - 1 -2.3 -7.0 +5.8
  Jan 09, 2017 331   @ Grambling St. L 62-67 56%     1 - 10 1 - 2 -14.8 -12.4 -2.6
  Jan 11, 2017 329   @ Jackson St. W 63-50 56%     2 - 10 2 - 2 +3.3 -1.7 +7.1
  Jan 14, 2017 344   Mississippi Valley L 77-84 85%     2 - 11 2 - 3 -26.1 -16.6 -8.7
  Jan 16, 2017 348   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-64 88%     3 - 11 3 - 3 -2.8 -2.0 -1.7
  Jan 21, 2017 342   @ Alabama St. W 78-71 69%     4 - 11 4 - 3 -6.2 -2.8 -3.6
  Jan 23, 2017 351   @ Alabama A&M W 81-70 83%     5 - 11 5 - 3 -7.5 +4.6 -11.1
  Jan 28, 2017 327   Southern W 74-64 73%     6 - 11 6 - 3 -4.5 +6.0 -8.7
  Feb 04, 2017 329   Jackson St. W 69-58 74%     7 - 11 7 - 3 -3.7 -0.6 -1.9
  Feb 06, 2017 331   Grambling St. W 75-65 74%     8 - 11 8 - 3 -4.9 +4.9 -8.4
  Feb 11, 2017 344   @ Mississippi Valley W 88-77 72%     9 - 11 9 - 3 -3.0 +1.7 -5.3
  Feb 13, 2017 348   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 70-58 77%     10 - 11 10 - 3 -3.7 +0.3 -2.7
  Feb 18, 2017 342   Alabama St. W 75-67 83%     11 - 11 11 - 3 -10.2 -5.4 -4.8
  Feb 20, 2017 351   Alabama A&M W 74-59 92%     12 - 11 12 - 3 -8.5 -1.7 -4.7
  Feb 25, 2017 327   @ Southern W 68-67 55%     13 - 11 13 - 3 -8.4 -6.8 -1.6
  Mar 02, 2017 220   @ Texas Southern L 88-94 OT 25%     13 - 12 13 - 4 -7.2 +8.1 -14.9
  Mar 04, 2017 321   @ Prairie View L 60-66 50%     13 - 13 13 - 5 -14.2 -10.0 -5.0
  Mar 07, 2017 344   Mississippi Valley W 63-60 85%     14 - 13 -16.1 -22.4 +6.3
  Mar 10, 2017 327   Southern W 81-59 65%     15 - 13 +10.0 +3.1 +7.6
  Mar 11, 2017 220   Texas Southern L 50-53 33%     15 - 14 -6.7 -17.9 +10.8
Projected Record 15.0 - 14.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%