Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#235
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#236
Pace59.8#329
Improvement-2.6#288

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#291
First Shot-5.0#299
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#152
Layup/Dunks-2.8#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#284
Freethrows-1.4#265
Improvement+2.0#64

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#173
First Shot-1.4#211
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#29
Layups/Dunks+0.0#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#192
Freethrows-2.2#308
Improvement-4.6#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2016 221   Idaho L 57-65 57%     0 - 1 -14.3 -13.8 -1.2
  Nov 21, 2016 91   St. Bonaventure W 68-65 18%     1 - 1 +7.9 +0.9 +7.2
  Nov 22, 2016 292   Pepperdine L 65-66 64%     1 - 2 -9.2 -10.1 +0.8
  Nov 23, 2016 242   Central Michigan W 91-79 51%     2 - 2 +7.1 +7.6 -0.8
  Nov 29, 2016 314   @ Central Arkansas W 89-87 OT 62%     3 - 2 -5.7 -3.3 -2.7
  Dec 03, 2016 126   Tulsa W 72-62 35%     4 - 2 +9.4 +1.5 +8.2
  Dec 08, 2016 348   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 67-52 93%     5 - 2 -5.8 -0.3 -2.7
  Dec 10, 2016 314   Central Arkansas W 70-59 78%     6 - 2 -1.8 -7.6 +6.7
  Dec 14, 2016 323   @ Northern Arizona W 72-67 64%     7 - 2 -3.3 -1.3 -1.8
  Dec 19, 2016 234   @ Oral Roberts L 48-63 40%     7 - 3 -17.1 -27.4 +10.1
  Dec 21, 2016 8   @ Florida L 71-94 2%     7 - 4 -1.3 +14.6 -16.9
  Dec 31, 2016 260   Louisiana Monroe W 79-75 OT 64%     8 - 4 1 - 0 -4.3 +2.1 -6.5
  Jan 02, 2017 151   Louisiana L 52-69 40%     8 - 5 1 - 1 -18.9 -15.9 -6.4
  Jan 07, 2017 272   @ Appalachian St. W 76-68 48%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +3.8 +12.3 -7.3
  Jan 09, 2017 201   @ Coastal Carolina L 63-66 32%     9 - 6 2 - 2 -2.7 -2.9 -0.1
  Jan 14, 2017 136   Arkansas St. L 72-77 37%     9 - 7 2 - 3 -6.1 -1.2 -4.9
  Jan 21, 2017 241   South Alabama W 73-56 61%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +9.6 -2.3 +11.8
  Jan 23, 2017 129   Troy L 69-78 35%     10 - 8 3 - 4 -9.7 -2.2 -8.1
  Jan 28, 2017 151   @ Louisiana L 82-88 23%     10 - 9 3 - 5 -2.8 +4.5 -7.3
  Jan 30, 2017 260   @ Louisiana Monroe L 52-68 44%     10 - 10 3 - 6 -19.2 -8.8 -14.0
  Feb 04, 2017 201   Coastal Carolina L 75-82 50%     10 - 11 3 - 7 -11.8 +2.5 -14.5
  Feb 06, 2017 272   Appalachian St. W 69-62 67%     11 - 11 4 - 7 -2.3 +11.2 -11.4
  Feb 11, 2017 174   @ Texas St. L 49-56 26%     11 - 12 4 - 8 -4.8 -13.5 +7.6
  Feb 13, 2017 81   @ Texas Arlington L 55-71 11%     11 - 13 4 - 9 -7.3 -8.8 +0.0
  Feb 17, 2017 136   @ Arkansas St. L 58-67 21%     11 - 14 4 - 10 -5.0 -3.8 -2.8
  Feb 25, 2017 128   Georgia St. L 54-71 35%     11 - 15 4 - 11 -17.6 -8.0 -13.0
  Feb 27, 2017 181   Georgia Southern W 56-54 45%     12 - 15 5 - 11 -1.3 -11.4 +10.5
  Mar 02, 2017 241   @ South Alabama W 62-57 41%     13 - 15 6 - 11 +2.6 -2.0 +5.3
  Mar 04, 2017 129   @ Troy L 54-57 20%     13 - 16 6 - 12 +1.3 -3.2 +3.7
  Mar 08, 2017 151   Louisiana L 71-78 31%     13 - 17 -6.4 -4.4 -2.1
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%