Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#280
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#288
Pace77.6#17
Improvement+2.7#63

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#180
First Shot+0.3#164
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#221
Layup/Dunks+3.3#49
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.0#349
Freethrows+3.3#18
Improvement-1.4#246

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#330
First Shot-6.5#337
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#257
Layups/Dunks-2.5#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#249
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#161
Freethrows-3.3#336
Improvement+4.1#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2016 12   @ UCLA L 87-102 1%     0 - 1 +5.3 +2.3 +6.1
  Nov 15, 2016 95   @ Stanford L 69-96 9%     0 - 2 -19.7 -5.4 -11.9
  Nov 19, 2016 204   Northern Illinois W 84-82 41%     1 - 2 -3.1 +3.7 -7.0
  Nov 24, 2016 66   Texas A&M L 73-95 8%     1 - 3 -13.6 +4.2 -17.2
  Nov 25, 2016 118   New Mexico L 89-105 17%     1 - 4 -13.4 +11.3 -23.6
  Nov 27, 2016 265   Portland L 78-96 45%     1 - 5 -24.3 +1.9 -25.8
  Dec 03, 2016 332   Idaho St. W 79-76 78%     2 - 5 -12.5 +0.8 -13.1
  Dec 05, 2016 89   @ St. John's L 70-76 9%     2 - 6 +1.5 -3.1 +4.8
  Dec 10, 2016 170   Loyola Marymount L 68-69 32%     2 - 7 -3.6 -1.9 -1.8
  Dec 21, 2016 96   @ Boise St. L 62-79 9%     2 - 8 -9.8 -7.5 -2.6
  Dec 29, 2016 326   Morgan St. W 82-61 73%     3 - 8 +7.2 +7.0 +0.3
  Jan 04, 2017 307   UC Riverside W 82-76 67%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -6.1 +10.5 -16.4
  Jan 07, 2017 256   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 70-65 33%     5 - 8 2 - 0 +2.1 +1.6 +0.6
  Jan 11, 2017 226   @ Long Beach St. W 89-82 28%     6 - 8 3 - 0 +5.5 +2.3 +2.2
  Jan 14, 2017 213   UC Davis L 68-71 43%     6 - 9 3 - 1 -8.8 -7.4 -1.2
  Jan 18, 2017 264   @ Hawaii L 77-80 35%     6 - 10 3 - 2 -6.5 +4.0 -10.4
  Jan 21, 2017 143   UC Irvine L 73-105 28%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -33.4 -1.7 -29.6
  Jan 25, 2017 328   @ UC Santa Barbara W 78-57 58%     7 - 11 4 - 3 +11.4 +6.7 +5.6
  Jan 28, 2017 307   @ UC Riverside W 63-59 48%     8 - 11 5 - 3 -3.1 -11.3 +8.1
  Feb 01, 2017 226   Long Beach St. W 108-98 46%     9 - 11 6 - 3 +3.4 +15.3 -13.3
  Feb 04, 2017 264   Hawaii L 72-76 54%     9 - 12 6 - 4 -12.5 -1.0 -11.7
  Feb 11, 2017 328   UC Santa Barbara W 77-55 75%     10 - 12 7 - 4 +7.4 +8.3 +1.4
  Feb 15, 2017 301   Cal Poly L 71-85 65%     10 - 13 7 - 5 -25.5 -9.7 -15.7
  Feb 23, 2017 213   @ UC Davis L 85-96 26%     10 - 14 7 - 6 -11.8 +10.8 -22.0
  Feb 25, 2017 143   @ UC Irvine L 80-83 15%     10 - 15 7 - 7 +0.7 +14.3 -13.7
  Mar 02, 2017 301   @ Cal Poly L 70-76 46%     10 - 16 7 - 8 -12.4 -5.0 -7.6
  Mar 04, 2017 256   Cal St. Fullerton L 78-86 52%     10 - 17 7 - 9 -16.0 -0.1 -15.4
  Mar 09, 2017 256   Cal St. Fullerton L 68-81 42%     10 - 18 -18.5 -9.1 -8.4
Projected Record 10.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%