Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#286
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#262
Pace66.6#211
Improvement-4.4#335

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#219
First Shot+0.2#165
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#314
Layup/Dunks-1.5#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#29
Freethrows-0.6#215
Improvement-4.0#339

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#317
First Shot-6.4#334
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#148
Layups/Dunks-4.1#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#325
Freethrows-0.9#232
Improvement-0.4#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 194   @ Denver W 92-84 20%     1 - 0 +8.9 +14.9 -6.3
  Nov 14, 2016 215   @ Air Force L 68-86 25%     1 - 1 -19.0 -2.1 -18.2
  Nov 18, 2016 282   Youngstown St. W 79-54 49%     2 - 1 +17.3 +0.3 +16.8
  Nov 19, 2016 276   Florida International W 78-75 OT 46%     3 - 1 -3.9 +1.2 -5.0
  Nov 20, 2016 241   @ South Alabama L 58-71 30%     3 - 2 -15.4 -10.5 -5.8
  Nov 26, 2016 349   @ N.C. A&T W 66-49 80%     4 - 2 +0.1 -0.5 +5.2
  Nov 30, 2016 253   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-72 31%     4 - 3 -7.9 +0.6 -9.1
  Dec 05, 2016 340   @ Bethune-Cookman W 76-66 67%     5 - 3 -2.6 +0.2 -2.3
  Dec 07, 2016 273   Eastern Kentucky L 76-80 56%     5 - 4 -13.3 +5.9 -19.5
  Dec 10, 2016 308   @ Marist W 85-64 47%     6 - 4 +13.9 +14.1 +1.6
  Dec 17, 2016 345   @ Florida A&M W 75-72 73%     7 - 4 -11.1 -3.5 -7.6
  Dec 21, 2016 87   @ Davidson L 60-75 8%     7 - 5 -6.9 -4.2 -3.8
  Dec 31, 2016 335   South Carolina St. W 89-85 79%     8 - 5 -12.5 +8.1 -20.4
  Jan 07, 2017 248   North Florida L 64-80 50%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -23.8 -14.8 -8.8
  Jan 12, 2017 294   @ NJIT W 82-81 42%     9 - 6 1 - 1 -4.9 +7.0 -11.9
  Jan 14, 2017 238   @ South Carolina Upstate L 66-73 29%     9 - 7 1 - 2 -9.2 -5.4 -4.3
  Jan 19, 2017 164   Lipscomb L 95-112 30%     9 - 8 1 - 3 -19.4 +1.7 -18.1
  Jan 21, 2017 252   Kennesaw St. L 71-81 50%     9 - 9 1 - 4 -17.9 -9.6 -8.0
  Jan 25, 2017 322   Stetson W 103-92 70%     10 - 9 2 - 4 -2.3 +10.7 -14.1
  Jan 28, 2017 117   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 56-78 11%     10 - 10 2 - 5 -16.7 -15.5 -1.4
  Jan 30, 2017 322   @ Stetson W 89-86 51%     11 - 10 3 - 5 -5.3 +4.0 -9.4
  Feb 04, 2017 117   Florida Gulf Coast L 57-67 22%     11 - 11 3 - 6 -9.8 -12.5 +1.9
  Feb 09, 2017 238   South Carolina Upstate L 67-70 48%     11 - 12 3 - 7 -10.3 -6.7 -3.8
  Feb 11, 2017 294   NJIT W 76-73 62%     12 - 12 4 - 7 -8.0 +5.9 -13.5
  Feb 16, 2017 252   @ Kennesaw St. W 79-78 31%     13 - 12 5 - 7 -1.9 +3.5 -5.3
  Feb 18, 2017 164   @ Lipscomb L 69-81 16%     13 - 13 5 - 8 -9.4 -1.7 -8.2
  Feb 23, 2017 248   North Florida L 69-73 50%     13 - 14 5 - 9 -11.8 -3.3 -8.8
  Feb 27, 2017 248   @ North Florida L 74-77 31%     13 - 15 -5.7 +6.7 -12.7
Projected Record 13.0 - 15.0 5.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9 100.0% 100.0
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%