Pre-tourney Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#182
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#187
Pace64.8#252
Improvement-1.5#250

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#222
First Shot-1.8#234
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#187
Layup/Dunks+0.6#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#254
Freethrows-1.5#270
Improvement-0.7#216

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#132
First Shot+2.7#84
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#311
Layups/Dunks-2.4#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#84
Freethrows+2.2#53
Improvement-0.8#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four99.0% n/a n/a
First Round57.8% n/a n/a
Second Round1.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 155   @ Marshall L 69-81 35%     0 - 1 -9.0 -7.2 -1.5
  Nov 14, 2016 71   @ Ohio St. L 63-69 15%     0 - 2 +4.3 -2.7 +6.7
  Nov 16, 2016 317   @ Western Carolina W 67-59 75%     1 - 2 +0.2 -1.2 +1.8
  Nov 18, 2016 329   Jackson St. W 84-75 90%     2 - 2 -5.7 +15.5 -20.3
  Nov 26, 2016 149   @ Northern Kentucky W 82-74 34%     3 - 2 +11.4 +12.4 -0.8
  Nov 28, 2016 137   @ Missouri W 62-52 32%     4 - 2 +13.9 -4.0 +18.4
  Dec 03, 2016 159   @ East Carolina L 56-69 36%     4 - 3 -10.0 -7.0 -3.9
  Dec 06, 2016 261   LIU Brooklyn W 79-56 76%     5 - 3 +14.7 +6.4 +9.4
  Dec 10, 2016 201   @ Coastal Carolina L 67-70 46%     5 - 4 -2.7 -2.5 -0.3
  Dec 13, 2016 173   @ LSU L 66-70 38%     5 - 5 -1.7 -10.4 +8.8
  Dec 17, 2016 319   @ McNeese St. W 74-66 76%     6 - 5 -0.1 -8.4 +7.6
  Jan 10, 2017 341   Delaware St. L 68-69 93%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -18.8 -14.2 -4.5
  Jan 11, 2017 325   Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-52 88%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +3.5 -8.3 +12.4
  Jan 14, 2017 293   @ Norfolk St. W 72-57 69%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +9.1 +7.6 +3.3
  Jan 16, 2017 306   @ Hampton W 64-51 72%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +6.0 +1.6 +6.6
  Jan 23, 2017 336   Howard W 74-39 92%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +18.1 +11.4 +14.2
  Jan 28, 2017 349   N.C. A&T W 82-59 96%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +1.0 -2.2 +3.9
  Jan 30, 2017 341   @ Delaware St. W 82-74 86%     12 - 6 6 - 1 -4.7 +4.3 -8.9
  Feb 04, 2017 326   @ Morgan St. W 68-62 77%     13 - 6 7 - 1 -2.7 +5.1 -6.9
  Feb 06, 2017 343   @ Coppin St. W 86-77 87%     14 - 6 8 - 1 -4.2 +6.5 -10.6
  Feb 11, 2017 335   South Carolina St. W 85-62 92%     15 - 6 9 - 1 +6.5 +7.2 +1.0
  Feb 13, 2017 345   Florida A&M W 78-73 95%     16 - 6 10 - 1 -14.2 -5.1 -9.1
  Feb 18, 2017 325   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-69 77%     17 - 6 11 - 1 +4.5 +12.4 -6.6
  Feb 20, 2017 336   @ Howard W 66-59 85%     18 - 6 12 - 1 -4.8 -3.1 -1.0
  Feb 25, 2017 340   Bethune-Cookman W 78-63 93%     19 - 6 13 - 1 -2.6 -4.5 +1.7
  Feb 27, 2017 320   Savannah St. L 73-74 87%     19 - 7 13 - 2 -14.2 -6.2 -8.0
  Mar 02, 2017 349   @ N.C. A&T L 63-68 92%     19 - 8 13 - 3 -21.9 -7.8 -15.2
  Mar 08, 2017 340   Bethune-Cookman W 95-60 90%     20 - 8 +19.9 +18.1 +3.1
  Mar 10, 2017 325   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-49 83%     21 - 8 +17.0 -0.5 +17.9
  Mar 11, 2017 293   Norfolk St. W 67-59 77%     22 - 8 -0.4 -4.4 +4.3
Projected Record 22.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9