Pre-tourney Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.7#37
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#42
Pace65.2#242
Improvement-1.0#224

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#38
First Shot+3.1#82
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#12
Layup/Dunks+5.5#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#215
Freethrows-0.3#195
Improvement-1.1#239

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#54
First Shot+4.3#58
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#104
Layups/Dunks+1.5#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#190
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#104
Freethrows+1.5#80
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.7% n/a n/a
First Round0.8% n/a n/a
Second Round0.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2016 342   Alabama St. W 98-62 99%     1 - 0 +17.8 +17.6 +0.2
  Nov 18, 2016 176   Jacksonville St. W 79-60 91%     2 - 0 +15.9 +18.5 +0.7
  Nov 21, 2016 59   Illinois St. W 80-71 68%     3 - 0 +15.7 +14.5 +1.2
  Nov 25, 2016 231   @ UNLV W 63-59 89%     4 - 0 +2.1 -7.9 +10.0
  Nov 26, 2016 156   Washington W 93-80 85%     5 - 0 +13.5 +9.7 +2.5
  Nov 30, 2016 156   Washington W 86-71 89%     6 - 0 +13.0 +8.1 +4.4
  Dec 03, 2016 136   Arkansas St. W 77-54 88%     7 - 0 +21.9 +11.4 +13.0
  Dec 07, 2016 13   @ SMU L 59-74 21%     7 - 1 +5.3 +7.3 -5.4
  Dec 10, 2016 135   Wofford W 72-63 88%     8 - 1 +8.0 +2.2 +6.5
  Dec 18, 2016 220   Texas Southern W 96-59 94%     9 - 1 +30.7 +19.7 +10.9
  Dec 21, 2016 199   Bradley W 74-42 93%     10 - 1 +27.3 +10.5 +21.0
  Dec 30, 2016 6   Kansas L 80-86 31%     10 - 2 0 - 1 +10.9 +10.7 +0.4
  Jan 03, 2017 60   Oklahoma W 60-57 68%     11 - 2 1 - 1 +9.7 -3.5 +13.4
  Jan 07, 2017 5   @ West Virginia L 70-82 16%     11 - 3 1 - 2 +10.3 +11.1 -1.2
  Jan 11, 2017 63   @ Texas W 64-61 52%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +14.1 +0.4 +13.6
  Jan 14, 2017 17   Iowa St. W 84-77 37%     13 - 3 3 - 2 +22.0 +18.1 +4.1
  Jan 18, 2017 45   @ Texas Tech L 69-75 42%     13 - 4 3 - 3 +7.8 +6.9 +0.4
  Jan 21, 2017 15   Baylor L 53-62 37%     13 - 5 3 - 4 +6.1 +0.2 +3.8
  Jan 23, 2017 20   @ Oklahoma St. L 76-89 24%     13 - 6 3 - 5 +6.0 +4.7 +1.7
  Jan 28, 2017 78   Auburn L 80-88 77%     13 - 7 -3.9 -2.7 -0.3
  Feb 01, 2017 30   @ Kansas St. W 86-80 OT 36%     14 - 7 4 - 5 +21.4 +15.7 +5.3
  Feb 04, 2017 63   Texas W 78-63 71%     15 - 7 5 - 5 +21.0 +23.1 +0.0
  Feb 07, 2017 45   Texas Tech W 62-61 61%     16 - 7 6 - 5 +9.7 -0.9 +10.8
  Feb 11, 2017 15   @ Baylor L 52-70 21%     16 - 8 6 - 6 +2.2 +2.8 -5.2
  Feb 15, 2017 20   Oklahoma St. L 68-71 41%     16 - 9 6 - 7 +10.9 +8.9 +1.5
  Feb 18, 2017 17   @ Iowa St. L 71-84 21%     16 - 10 6 - 8 +7.1 +7.7 -1.0
  Feb 22, 2017 6   @ Kansas L 68-87 17%     16 - 11 6 - 9 +3.0 +2.4 +1.0
  Feb 25, 2017 5   West Virginia L 60-61 30%     16 - 12 6 - 10 +16.2 +2.1 +14.0
  Mar 01, 2017 30   Kansas St. L 74-75 55%     16 - 13 6 - 11 +9.4 +17.5 -8.3
  Mar 04, 2017 60   @ Oklahoma L 68-73 49%     16 - 14 6 - 12 +6.8 +9.8 -3.5
  Mar 08, 2017 60   Oklahoma W 82-63 59%     17 - 14 +28.3 +23.2 +6.7
  Mar 09, 2017 6   Kansas W 85-82 23%     18 - 14 +22.4 +14.6 +7.7
  Mar 10, 2017 17   Iowa St. L 63-84 28%     18 - 15 -3.4 +2.5 -8.0
Projected Record 18.0 - 15.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 1.7% 1.7% 11.8 0.3 1.3 0.0 98.3 1.7%
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7% 11.8 0.3 1.3 0.0 98.3 1.7%