Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#213
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#178
Pace68.9#142
Improvement+2.2#75

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#292
First Shot-5.0#298
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#168
Layup/Dunks-1.3#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#315
Freethrows+0.0#176
Improvement-0.8#220

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#117
First Shot+1.9#114
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#213
Layups/Dunks+0.9#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#190
Freethrows+0.5#140
Improvement+3.0#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four91.1% n/a n/a
First Round47.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 183   Tennessee St. L 64-78 41%     0 - 1 -14.8 -6.4 -8.4
  Nov 12, 2016 110   @ Santa Clara W 63-58 20%     1 - 1 +10.7 -5.1 +16.0
  Nov 13, 2016 323   Northern Arizona W 89-76 76%     2 - 1 +2.2 +6.1 -4.8
  Nov 21, 2016 283   Sacramento St. W 81-72 67%     3 - 1 +1.3 -0.6 +1.6
  Nov 24, 2016 184   Weber St. L 58-86 41%     3 - 2 -28.9 -14.0 -17.2
  Nov 25, 2016 255   Drake W 64-58 58%     4 - 2 +0.6 -1.5 +3.1
  Nov 26, 2016 108   Oakland L 66-79 26%     4 - 3 -9.5 -2.4 -7.1
  Dec 03, 2016 221   @ Idaho L 66-68 42%     4 - 4 -3.3 -1.1 -2.4
  Dec 10, 2016 57   @ California L 61-86 8%     4 - 5 -13.0 -4.1 -7.9
  Dec 14, 2016 167   @ North Dakota St. L 70-74 29%     4 - 6 -1.5 +4.8 -6.6
  Dec 22, 2016 215   @ Air Force L 67-77 41%     4 - 7 -11.0 -7.6 -3.4
  Dec 28, 2016 267   @ Seattle W 72-65 53%     5 - 7 +3.0 -1.3 +4.1
  Dec 31, 2016 190   Utah Valley W 83-69 52%     6 - 7 +10.1 +8.0 +1.6
  Jan 04, 2017 328   UC Santa Barbara W 73-47 85%     7 - 7 1 - 0 +11.4 -1.6 +13.8
  Jan 07, 2017 301   Cal Poly W 68-64 78%     8 - 7 2 - 0 -7.5 -3.3 -3.7
  Jan 12, 2017 307   @ UC Riverside L 55-61 64%     8 - 8 2 - 1 -13.1 -19.5 +6.7
  Jan 14, 2017 280   @ Cal St. Northridge W 71-68 57%     9 - 8 3 - 1 -2.0 -10.9 +8.7
  Jan 21, 2017 264   @ Hawaii W 76-70 51%     10 - 8 4 - 1 +2.5 +8.2 -5.3
  Jan 28, 2017 143   UC Irvine W 74-65 43%     11 - 8 5 - 1 +7.6 +3.9 +3.8
  Feb 02, 2017 301   @ Cal Poly L 70-74 62%     11 - 9 5 - 2 -10.4 -3.5 -7.2
  Feb 04, 2017 328   @ UC Santa Barbara W 67-64 73%     12 - 9 6 - 2 -6.6 -0.5 -5.8
  Feb 08, 2017 256   Cal St. Fullerton W 74-65 68%     13 - 9 7 - 2 +1.0 -1.4 +2.2
  Feb 11, 2017 307   UC Riverside W 77-63 80%     14 - 9 8 - 2 +1.9 +1.5 +0.2
  Feb 16, 2017 226   @ Long Beach St. L 69-78 OT 43%     14 - 10 8 - 3 -10.5 -6.6 -3.9
  Feb 18, 2017 256   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 72-79 49%     14 - 11 8 - 4 -9.9 -3.6 -5.8
  Feb 23, 2017 280   Cal St. Northridge W 96-85 74%     15 - 11 9 - 4 +0.9 +9.8 -9.5
  Feb 25, 2017 226   Long Beach St. W 75-71 OT 63%     16 - 11 10 - 4 -2.6 -4.5 +1.8
  Mar 02, 2017 264   Hawaii W 68-59 69%     17 - 11 11 - 4 +0.5 +2.2 -0.5
  Mar 04, 2017 143   @ UC Irvine L 49-79 25%     17 - 12 11 - 5 -26.3 -15.3 -13.0
  Mar 09, 2017 301   Cal Poly W 66-55 71%     18 - 12 +2.0 -11.1 +13.4
  Mar 10, 2017 256   Cal St. Fullerton W 66-64 OT 58%     19 - 12 -3.5 -6.2 +2.7
  Mar 11, 2017 143   UC Irvine W 50-47 33%     20 - 12 +4.2 -15.4 +19.8
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 1.7 98.3
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 1.7 98.3