Pre-tourney Rankings
Wichita St.
Missouri Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.6#9
Expected Predictive Rating+15.3#24
Pace71.9#77
Improvement+0.4#150

Offense
Total Offense+9.8#16
First Shot+7.6#21
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#35
Layup/Dunks+0.7#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#97
Freethrows+3.0#26
Improvement+1.0#126

Defense
Total Defense+8.7#17
First Shot+6.6#25
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#11
Layups/Dunks+4.9#22
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#151
Freethrows+0.5#151
Improvement-0.5#216
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 4.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round69.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen33.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight18.3% n/a n/a
Final Four8.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.3% n/a n/a
National Champion1.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 335   South Carolina St. W 85-39 99.6%    1 - 0 +29.5 +0.7 +28.8
  Nov 13, 2016 226   Long Beach St. W 92-55 98%     2 - 0 +30.4 +6.6 +20.7
  Nov 16, 2016 126   Tulsa W 80-53 95%     3 - 0 +26.4 +4.5 +20.9
  Nov 20, 2016 325   Maryland Eastern Shore W 116-79 99%     4 - 0 +23.5 +29.1 -7.9
  Nov 23, 2016 173   LSU W 82-47 95%     5 - 0 +34.7 +0.3 +32.2
  Nov 24, 2016 7   Louisville L 52-62 47%     5 - 1 +9.3 -6.0 +14.2
  Nov 25, 2016 44   Michigan St. L 72-77 75%     5 - 2 +6.4 +8.5 -2.3
  Dec 03, 2016 82   @ Colorado St. W 82-67 83%     6 - 2 +23.6 +16.2 +7.9
  Dec 06, 2016 244   Saint Louis W 75-45 98%     7 - 2 +22.5 +3.6 +19.9
  Dec 10, 2016 60   Oklahoma W 76-73 81%     8 - 2 +12.3 +3.8 +8.3
  Dec 17, 2016 20   Oklahoma St. L 76-93 58%     8 - 3 -0.5 +4.6 -4.9
  Dec 22, 2016 175   South Dakota St. W 89-67 97%     9 - 3 +19.1 +15.1 +5.1
  Dec 28, 2016 191   @ Indiana St. W 80-72 94%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +9.0 +13.2 -3.9
  Jan 01, 2017 199   Bradley W 100-66 97%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +29.3 +21.2 +6.3
  Jan 04, 2017 255   Drake W 90-65 98%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +17.0 +4.6 +10.4
  Jan 08, 2017 153   @ Northern Iowa W 80-66 92%     13 - 3 4 - 0 +17.1 +20.0 -1.9
  Jan 11, 2017 102   Loyola Chicago W 87-75 93%     14 - 3 5 - 0 +13.6 +14.4 -0.8
  Jan 14, 2017 59   @ Illinois St. L 62-76 74%     14 - 4 5 - 1 -2.2 +5.8 -9.5
  Jan 17, 2017 154   @ Evansville W 82-65 92%     15 - 4 6 - 1 +20.1 +21.5 +0.8
  Jan 21, 2017 191   Indiana St. W 84-58 97%     16 - 4 7 - 1 +22.0 +9.7 +11.6
  Jan 24, 2017 144   Southern Illinois W 87-45 96%     17 - 4 8 - 1 +40.6 +18.1 +24.7
  Jan 29, 2017 199   @ Bradley W 64-49 94%     18 - 4 9 - 1 +15.4 -4.9 +20.8
  Feb 01, 2017 255   @ Drake W 77-69 97%     19 - 4 10 - 1 +5.1 +2.9 +2.3
  Feb 04, 2017 59   Illinois St. W 86-45 86%     20 - 4 11 - 1 +47.7 +24.8 +25.1
  Feb 09, 2017 130   Missouri St. W 80-62 95%     21 - 4 12 - 1 +17.2 +7.2 +10.5
  Feb 12, 2017 102   @ Loyola Chicago W 81-64 86%     22 - 4 13 - 1 +23.7 +13.6 +10.6
  Feb 15, 2017 144   @ Southern Illinois W 87-68 91%     23 - 4 14 - 1 +22.7 +18.6 +4.6
  Feb 18, 2017 153   Northern Iowa W 73-44 96%     24 - 4 15 - 1 +27.0 +15.2 +16.1
  Feb 21, 2017 154   Evansville W 109-83 96%     25 - 4 16 - 1 +24.0 +35.0 -11.1
  Feb 25, 2017 130   @ Missouri St. W 86-67 90%     26 - 4 17 - 1 +23.3 +20.7 +4.1
  Mar 03, 2017 199   Bradley W 82-56 96%     27 - 4 +23.9 +6.8 +16.0
  Mar 04, 2017 130   Missouri St. W 78-63 93%     28 - 4 +16.8 +11.3 +6.7
  Mar 05, 2017 59   Illinois St. W 71-51 81%     29 - 4 +29.3 +17.3 +15.0
Projected Record 29.0 - 4.0 17.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 9.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.1 14.8 17.6 15.5 17.9 24.2 5.7 0.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 9.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.1 14.8 17.6 15.5 17.9 24.2 5.7 0.0