Pre-tourney Rankings
Wright St.
Horizon
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#165
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#138
Pace69.3#124
Improvement+0.8#129

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#126
First Shot+2.8#94
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#275
Layup/Dunks-3.3#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#24
Freethrows+2.0#55
Improvement+0.6#144

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#212
First Shot-3.0#264
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#32
Layups/Dunks+2.0#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#212
Freethrows-0.9#231
Improvement+0.2#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 144   @ Southern Illinois W 85-81 36%     1 - 0 +7.7 +11.0 -3.4
  Nov 15, 2016 274   Miami (OH) W 89-87 81%     2 - 0 -7.4 +12.9 -20.3
  Nov 19, 2016 132   Toledo L 78-82 54%     2 - 1 -4.8 +2.0 -6.8
  Nov 25, 2016 122   Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-64 51%     3 - 1 +3.8 -2.7 +6.4
  Nov 26, 2016 172   North Dakota W 83-79 61%     4 - 1 +1.3 +1.7 -0.9
  Nov 27, 2016 248   North Florida W 75-67 77%     5 - 1 +0.2 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 30, 2016 128   @ Georgia St. L 74-81 34%     5 - 2 -2.6 +4.6 -7.2
  Dec 03, 2016 79   @ Penn St. L 50-72 20%     5 - 3 -13.1 -18.6 +6.9
  Dec 07, 2016 102   @ Loyola Chicago L 64-77 26%     5 - 4 -6.3 -0.7 -6.6
  Dec 18, 2016 147   @ Kent St. W 68-63 36%     6 - 4 +8.6 +0.5 +8.3
  Dec 22, 2016 202   @ Murray St. W 77-62 49%     7 - 4 +15.3 +3.8 +11.9
  Dec 29, 2016 108   @ Oakland L 62-81 28%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -13.0 -6.6 -5.9
  Dec 31, 2016 295   @ Detroit Mercy W 85-72 72%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +6.9 +9.5 -2.0
  Jan 05, 2017 245   Cleveland St. W 55-51 77%     9 - 5 2 - 1 -3.6 -6.4 +3.7
  Jan 07, 2017 282   Youngstown St. L 75-80 83%     9 - 6 2 - 2 -15.2 -5.1 -10.1
  Jan 12, 2017 185   @ Green Bay L 61-78 44%     9 - 7 2 - 3 -15.4 -12.5 -2.2
  Jan 14, 2017 253   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-67 61%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +0.1 -0.5 +0.8
  Jan 20, 2017 295   Detroit Mercy W 106-88 85%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +6.8 +7.8 -3.7
  Jan 22, 2017 108   Oakland W 88-67 47%     12 - 7 5 - 3 +21.9 +17.7 +4.0
  Jan 27, 2017 100   @ Valparaiso L 55-70 25%     12 - 8 5 - 4 -8.0 -14.1 +6.3
  Jan 29, 2017 247   @ Illinois-Chicago W 88-86 60%     13 - 8 6 - 4 -0.6 +19.9 -20.4
  Feb 04, 2017 149   Northern Kentucky L 79-83 57%     13 - 9 6 - 5 -5.7 +3.7 -9.4
  Feb 09, 2017 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-65 78%     14 - 9 7 - 5 +3.0 +5.4 -1.5
  Feb 11, 2017 185   Green Bay W 88-79 64%     15 - 9 8 - 5 +5.5 +11.5 -6.3
  Feb 16, 2017 282   @ Youngstown St. W 84-81 69%     16 - 9 9 - 5 -2.1 +8.4 -10.5
  Feb 18, 2017 245   @ Cleveland St. W 74-68 2OT 60%     17 - 9 10 - 5 +3.5 -1.7 +4.8
  Feb 21, 2017 149   @ Northern Kentucky L 76-83 37%     17 - 10 10 - 6 -3.6 +6.4 -10.3
  Feb 24, 2017 100   Valparaiso L 74-84 43%     17 - 11 10 - 7 -8.1 +5.1 -13.5
  Feb 26, 2017 247   Illinois-Chicago W 87-49 77%     18 - 11 11 - 7 +30.3 +12.9 +18.1
  Mar 05, 2017 149   Northern Kentucky L 77-82 47%     18 - 12 -4.2 +3.6 -7.7
Projected Record 18.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%