Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
8 Kansas 100.0%   1   27 - 7 13 - 5 27 - 7 13 - 5 +16.8      +8.4 8 +8.4 8 69.9 158 +17.7 7 +17.4 1
11 West Virginia 100.0%   4   24 - 10 11 - 7 24 - 10 11 - 7 +16.0      +8.0 11 +8.0 11 72.2 96 +15.0 14 +14.5 3
12 Texas Tech 100.0%   5   24 - 9 11 - 7 24 - 9 11 - 7 +15.2      +7.6 12 +7.6 12 65.9 251 +15.0 15 +14.6 2
23 TCU 98.5%   6   21 - 11 9 - 9 21 - 11 9 - 9 +13.8      +6.9 23 +6.9 23 70.5 137 +12.5 26 +12.1 5
29 Baylor 38.7%   17 - 14 8 - 10 17 - 14 8 - 10 +12.1      +6.0 29 +6.0 29 65.6 261 +10.8 46 +10.9 9
37 Texas 80.9%   10   19 - 14 8 - 10 19 - 14 8 - 10 +11.3      +5.6 37 +5.6 37 64.1 307 +11.9 32 +11.0 8
41 Kansas St. 89.4%   8   22 - 11 10 - 8 22 - 11 10 - 8 +10.7      +5.4 41 +5.4 41 63.8 311 +13.1 24 +13.8 4
42 Oklahoma 78.4%   10   18 - 13 8 - 10 18 - 13 8 - 10 +10.7      +5.3 42 +5.3 42 86.7 3 +11.7 35 +11.1 7
47 Oklahoma St. 25.1%   19 - 14 8 - 10 19 - 14 8 - 10 +10.3      +5.2 47 +5.2 47 70.2 148 +11.0 44 +11.2 6
92 Iowa St. 0.0%   13 - 18 4 - 14 13 - 18 4 - 14 +5.5      +2.8 92 +2.8 92 70.6 133 +6.3 85 +5.8 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Kansas 1.0 100.0
West Virginia 2.0 100.0
Texas Tech 2.0 100.0
TCU 5.0 100.0
Baylor 6.0 100.0
Texas 6.0 100.0
Kansas St. 4.0 100.0
Oklahoma 6.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 6.0 100.0
Iowa St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kansas 13 - 5 100.0
West Virginia 11 - 7 100.0
Texas Tech 11 - 7 100.0
TCU 9 - 9 100.0
Baylor 8 - 10 100.0
Texas 8 - 10 100.0
Kansas St. 10 - 8 100.0
Oklahoma 8 - 10 100.0
Oklahoma St. 8 - 10 100.0
Iowa St. 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
West Virginia
Texas Tech
TCU
Baylor
Texas
Kansas St.
Oklahoma
Oklahoma St.
Iowa St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kansas 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   47.0 49.4 3.5 0.0
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.6 25.3 44.2 26.8 3.1 0.0 100.0%
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 0.2 14.9 36.1 37.8 10.6 0.3 0.0 100.0%
TCU 98.5% 0.0% 98.5% 6   0.0 0.9 9.5 42.8 36.6 7.3 1.3 0.1 1.5 98.5%
Baylor 38.7% 0.0% 38.7% 0.7 3.0 12.9 21.9 0.2 61.3 38.7%
Texas 80.9% 0.0% 80.9% 10   0.5 6.9 22.1 28.3 19.7 3.3 0.0 19.2 80.9%
Kansas St. 89.4% 0.0% 89.4% 8   0.0 1.8 13.8 28.8 27.3 14.8 2.9 10.6 89.4%
Oklahoma 78.4% 0.0% 78.4% 10   0.2 3.4 16.5 26.3 26.2 5.7 21.6 78.4%
Oklahoma St. 25.1% 0.0% 25.1% 0.1 0.3 3.3 20.7 0.7 74.9 25.1%
Iowa St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.8% 66.9% 40.2% 21.0% 9.6% 4.3%
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 84.5% 51.7% 24.5% 11.8% 5.5% 2.2%
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 79.5% 46.0% 19.9% 9.0% 3.8% 1.5%
TCU 98.5% 0.0% 98.5% 63.2% 26.8% 11.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Baylor 38.7% 21.4% 29.9% 14.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Texas 80.9% 3.0% 79.5% 40.6% 10.5% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Kansas St. 89.4% 2.7% 88.0% 42.0% 10.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Oklahoma 78.4% 5.2% 75.7% 35.7% 8.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 25.1% 21.1% 14.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Iowa St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 7.1 0.1 2.5 19.4 46.3 28.1 3.7
1st Round 100.0% 6.9 0.0 0.1 3.9 27.2 48.5 19.0 1.2
2nd Round 100.0% 4.6 0.1 2.9 12.9 29.3 33.7 17.0 3.7 0.3 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 96.9% 2.3 3.1 19.7 37.4 28.1 10.1 1.5 0.1
Elite Eight 75.1% 1.1 24.9 46.4 23.5 4.7 0.4 0.0
Final Four 43.8% 0.5 56.2 38.0 5.6 0.3
Final Game 20.5% 0.2 79.5 19.7 0.8
Champion 8.7% 0.1 91.3 8.7